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New York - The plunge in oil prices has dragged down much of the energy sector with it. Yet, some energy-focused hedge funds managed to avoid the carnage entirely.
Lansdowne Partners - one of Europe’s largest hedge funds with $22bn- gained 14.8% last year in its long- short energy-focused equity fund, according to a person familiar with the matter. Some commodity trading advisers, or CTAs, posted gains of more than 25% in 2015.
Breaking even was an achievement last year, when the price of a barrel of oil dropped 30% and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Energy Sector Index lost 21%. Energy-focused equity funds fell 10.7% last year, according to e-Vestment’s latest hedge fund performance report. Oil has fallen about another 21% in 2016, trading below $30 for the first time since 2003.
Lansdowne bucked the trend with a majority of its gains from short positions, the person familiar with the matter said. Other key drivers at the $140m fund, managed by Per Lekander, were long and short bets on utilities, energy infrastructure and renewables, the person said. Lansdowne spokesman Matthew Goodman declined to comment.
Brenham Capital Management, a Dallas, Texas-based long- short equity hedge fund run by John Labanowski, gained 23.2% last year, according to an investor letter obtained by Bloomberg. The $824m fund focuses on small- and mid-cap energy stocks. Dawn Blankenship, Brenham’s director of investor relations, declined to comment.
The energy sector had a few strong performers despite the overall turmoil. Parsley Energy, an Austin, Texas-based exploration and production firm, rose 15.6% in 2015. Bets on the stock helped Zimmer Partners, the $1.9bn hedge fund firm, post a gain last year, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Its fund, which makes long and short bets on US- based energy companies was up 3.5%, according to an investor letter obtained by Bloomberg. Melanie Ashmore, Zimmer’s head of investor relations, declined to comment.
Refinery stocks were a relative bright spot over the past year, though they were hit hard recently by the US’s lifting of the crude export ban. Many investors have said the end of the ban will eat away at US refiner’s access to cheaper oil. The McGinnis MLP and Energy Fund, which was long on refinery stocks, ended the year up 1.4% after a 10.4% plunge in December wiped out most of the year’s gains, according to someone familiar with the returns.
Steve Henderlite, chief operating officer at Mission Advisors, the San Antonio, Texas-based energy-focused hedge fund that runs the McGinnis fund, is still bullish on refineries.
"We don’t think the removal of the ban has significantly changed the story for refiners," Henderlite said, declining to comment on the returns. Even without a ban, refiners will benefit from cheaper oil from Canada and Mexico, he said.
Shorting strategies
One of the most profitable strategies has been to bet against the price of oil and other commodities. Hedge fund manager Pierre Andurand, whose commodity-focused hedge fund gained 8% last year through December 11, told investors last month that oil may fall to $25 a barrel or lower in the first quarter. Global supplies will continue to grow while global demand growth will slow, which could result in "a test of maximum storage capacity" and "significantly lower crude prices," he said in a letter. His London-based firm, Andurand Capital Management, manages $615m.
Shorting strategies helped some commodity trading advisers post double-digit returns last year. Red Rock Capital’s long- short systematic commodity strategy gained 31.3% in 2015, according to an investor letter obtained by Bloomberg. Half of last year’s profits were generated by short positions in energy futures such as crude oil, natural gas, gasoline and heating oil, Thomas Rollinger, managing partner and chief investment officer, said in an e-mail.
The $103m Millburn Commodity Program gained 25.6% last year, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. The quantitative fund got about half of its returns from energy bets, according to Barry Goodman, co-chief executive officer of Greenwich, Connecticut-based Millburn Ridgefield Corporation, which manages $1.4bn.
More declines
"So far in 2016, our models are forecasting continued near- term declines for crude and the other instruments within the energy sector, although it is important to note that the models can be reasonably quick to adapt when they determine the environment has changed," Goodman said in an e-mail.
CTAs, which tend to be trend-following, were helped by energy price’s "slow and steady decline over the past two years," said Melanie Rijkenberg, London-based associate director at the $9bn fund of hedge funds, Pacific Alternative Asset Management Company. However, "once the trends stop, CTAs tend to struggle, particularly if we enter a directionless regime."
Betting against energy and energy stocks won’t work forever, Rijkenberg warned. "As the market settles down and oil finds a bottom, there will be more value opportunities to capitalize on," she said.
