Emerging stocks fall after China data weakens | Fin24

Emerging stocks fall after China data weakens

Feb 01 2016 11:12
Harry Suhartono and Moonyoung Tae

Jakarta - Most emerging-market stocks fell after China’s official manufacturing gauge slumped to a three-low year and South Korean exports plunged. The offshore yuan retreated.

About six stocks dropped for every five that advanced on the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, which capped a third month of losses in January.

The Shanghai Composite Index extended its monthly selloff as PetroChina, the nation’s most valuable energy producer, sank after warning its annual profit may have slumped as much as 70%. The yuan traded in Hong Kong weakened the most among developing Asian currencies.

China’s official PMI fell short of estimates in January because of weak demand and efforts to reduce overcapacity, increasing concern that the nation’s manufacturing faces more challenges this year. The Shanghai equity index slumped last month by the most since October 2008 amid anxiety slowing growth and yuan volatility will spur capital outflows.

The PMI data is “still showing that the weakness in China’s economy is continuing,” John Teja, a director at PT Ciptadana Sekuritas, said by phone from Jakarta.

“I would recommend investors wait and see if all the stimulus from various central bankers is having any impact at all and look for more evidence of recovery in the first quarter numbers, before committing any investment in emerging markets.”

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index added less than 0.1% as of 07:16, with energy and consumer- discretionary shares declining to counter gains for health-care companies. It has fallen 6.5% this year and is valued at 11 times of its 12-month estimated earnings, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The MSCI World Index of developed-nation equities has slid 5.8% in 2016 and trades at a multiple of 15.2.

PetroChina lost 3.1%, pacing losses for a gauge of emerging-nation energy companies. China Life Insurance, the nation’s largest insurer, slumped to a two-month low after saying its 2015 net income may have risen less than analysts estimated. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of mainland stocks listed in Hong Kong fell 1.6 percent.

True Corp slumped 8.5%, the biggest decliner on the developing-nations gauge, after Thailand’s third-largest mobile phone operator announced a plan to raise $1.7bn by selling new shares in a rights offering.

The benchmark equity gauges in Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines fell at least 0.3%, while India’s S&P BSE Sensex climbed 0.3% before the nation’s central bank decides on interest rates on Tuesday. Malaysian stock markets were closed for a public holiday.

Currencies, bonds

The yuan traded in Hong Kong fell 0.14%, the most in a week, after China’s official PMI contracted for a record sixth month. The won weakened 0.1% after data showed the South Korea’s exports shrank the most since August 2009 and the yen’s slide after the Bank of Japan’s interest-rate move worsened the outlook for exporters.

The Bank of Japan’s surprise move on Friday in adopting a negative interest-rate strategy to revive lending added to confidence that major central banks remain supportive of growth.

A Bloomberg gauge of 20 developing-nation currencies was little changed, after losing 1.5% in January.

Indonesia’s rupiah strengthened 1.4%, the most among emerging-market currencies, on speculation local assets will lure more inflows. The nation’s local-currency sovereign bonds have already attracted $1.3bn of inflows this month, as the central bank cut its policy rate for the first time in almost a year on January 14.

China’s 14-day repurchase rate fell to the lowest level since January 20, before paring the decline. The People’s Bank of China injected 10 billion yuan into the banking system using reverse-repurchase agreements on Monday, after using the contracts to inject a net 1.235 trillion yuan in January, the most on record.

The yields on South Korean bonds fell to record lows after exports data weakened, with the three-year yield falling as low as 1.53%.

“The rates market is increasingly pricing in the chance of a Bank of Korea cut,” Societe Generale SA’s strategists Jason Daw and Frances Cheung wrote in a report on Monday. The central bank held its policy rate unchanged at 1.5% for a seventh month in January.

equities  |  markets  |  emerging ­markets


Company Snapshot


Debt and Eskom will take centre stage at this year's Budget

Voting Booth

How concerned are you about ransomware attacks?

Previous results · Suggest a vote