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Rand weaker as QE3 seen unlikely

Johannesburg - The rand and bonds opened weaker on Wednesday against the dollar after a release of the Federal Reserve’s minutes disappointed investors betting on further monetary easing for the world’s biggest economy.

The rand was little changed against the greenback at 06:06 GMT, trading at R7.74 from New York’s close of R7.7450.

“I think the big story of the night is the FOMC, they were slightly less dovish and more hawkish than everyone actually expected, which put the dollar on the front foot,” said Lee Naisbitt, a trader at Rand Merchant Bank.

“For now R7.77 is first resistance through to R7.82; obviously we got the worry that we have non-farm payrolls on Friday being a holiday as well - we are going to have very thin market conditions, we could come in on Tuesday considerably higher.”

Traders will watch closely the March ADP employment report in the United States, which could shed some light on the US non-farm payrolls due for release at the end of the week.

With little trading expected ahead of the four-day Easter holiday starting on Friday, the rand could firm when traders return to their desks next week should the unemployment figures show an improvement.

Bond yields rose 5.5 basis points each, with the yield on the 2015 issue up to 6.780% and that on the 2026 issue to 8.485%.

On the bourse, the JSE’s blue-chip Top 40 - (Tradeable) [JSE:J200] March futures contract was down over half a percent before the 07:00 GMT start of trade, pointing to a negative start.

 
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Rand - Dollar
19.01
+1.1%
Rand - Pound
23.79
+0.7%
Rand - Euro
20.40
+0.8%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.40
+0.7%
Rand - Yen
0.12
+1.2%
Platinum
925.50
+1.5%
Palladium
989.50
-1.5%
Gold
2,331.85
+0.7%
Silver
27.41
+0.9%
Brent Crude
88.02
-0.5%
Top 40
68,437
-0.2%
All Share
74,329
-0.3%
Resource 10
62,119
+2.7%
Industrial 25
102,531
-1.5%
Financial 15
15,802
-0.2%
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