Share

Oil dips on forecast for rising stockpiles, Trump trade-war risk

London - Oil dropped for the first time in four sessions on a reported expansion in US crude inventories and the risk of an intensifying global trade war sparked by President Donald Trump.

Futures in New York fell as much as 1.3%. US stockpiles rose by about 5.7 million barrels last week, the American Petroleum Institute was said to report. Broader financial markets were also rattled after Gary Cohn said he’ll resign as economic adviser to the White House, while the Trump administration is said to be considering clamping down on Chinese investments in the US.

While crude has mostly stayed above $60 a barrel this year as OPEC and its allies continue to cut production to drain a global glut, investors worry that record US oil output could thwart the group’s efforts. Trump’s protectionist theme adds a new wave of concerns, with increasing signs of a trade war leading to turbulence in some risk assets.

“Oil fundamentals have been showing signs of weakening,” said Ole Sloth Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank in Copenhagen. “Strong non-OPEC oil-production growth looks set to challenge OPEC and Russia’s ability to maintain price stability.”

West Texas Intermediate for April fell as much as 80 cents to $61.80 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange and traded at $62.28 as of 8:21 a.m. local time. The contract rose 3c to $62.60 on Tuesday, the highest level in a week. Total volume traded on Wednesday was about 16% above the 100-day average.

Brent for May settlement declined 0.3% to $65.54 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe Exchange, after adding 0.4% on Tuesday. The global benchmark traded at a $3.38 premium to May WTI.

President Trump reiterated his commitment to imposing tariffs on steel and aluminum on Tuesday, saying “trade wars aren’t so bad.” Hours later, White House economic adviser Cohn, who had furiously lobbied against the tariffs, announced his resignation.

Shortly after Cohn’s announcement, Bloomberg News reported Trump may hit out at China, one of his primary targets on trade since his presidential campaign.

The administration is considering clamping down on Chinese investments in the US and imposing tariffs on a broad range of imports to punish Beijing for its alleged theft of intellectual property, according to people familiar with the matter.

Other oil-market news:

• Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg forecast a 3 million-barrel increase in US crude inventories.

• The government will release the weekly data later on Wednesday.

• The US Energy Information Administration boosted its estimates for global oil production, while lowering demand.

• The need for petroleum isn’t going away any time soon, Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said at the CERAWeek conference on on Tuesday.

• Chevron doubled its forecast for production from the Permian shale basin, adding to signs that US output growth will continue to upend global energy markets.

• Exxon Mobil wants to more than double earnings by 2025, helped by increased production in the Permian shale basin.

* Sign up to Fin24's top news in your inbox: SUBSCRIBE TO FIN24 NEWSLETTER

We live in a world where facts and fiction get blurred
Who we choose to trust can have a profound impact on our lives. Join thousands of devoted South Africans who look to News24 to bring them news they can trust every day. As we celebrate 25 years, become a News24 subscriber as we strive to keep you informed, inspired and empowered.
Join News24 today
heading
description
username
Show Comments ()
Rand - Dollar
19.15
+0.4%
Rand - Pound
23.92
+0.1%
Rand - Euro
20.53
+0.1%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.48
+0.0%
Rand - Yen
0.12
+0.5%
Platinum
915.80
+0.4%
Palladium
1,010.50
+0.6%
Gold
2,321.07
+0.2%
Silver
27.24
+0.3%
Brent Crude
88.02
-0.5%
Top 40
68,574
0.0%
All Share
74,514
0.0%
Resource 10
60,444
0.0%
Industrial 25
104,013
0.0%
Financial 15
15,837
0.0%
All JSE data delayed by at least 15 minutes Iress logo
Company Snapshot
Editorial feedback and complaints

Contact the public editor with feedback for our journalists, complaints, queries or suggestions about articles on News24.

LEARN MORE
Government tenders

Find public sector tender opportunities in South Africa here.

Government tenders
This portal provides access to information on all tenders made by all public sector organisations in all spheres of government.
Browse tenders