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Trade surplus a far cry from last year despite August spike

SA’s trade surplus of R2.66bn for 2018 so far is still significantly lower than the R39.93bn surplus recorded for the same period last year, despite a marked improvement for August this year.

SARS on Friday released the latest trade statistics for August 2018 where the surplus for August was up 29% compared to the surplus recorded last year. This year, August recorded R8.79bn compared to last year's R6.80bn.

“Exports of R116.88bn are 12.2% more than the exports recorded in August 2017 of R104.16bn. Imports of R108.09bn are 11% more than the imports recorded in August 2017 of R97.37bn,” the report read.

But SARS noted that the year-to-date figures (between January 1, 2018 and August 31, 2018) shows a “deterioration” in the trade surplus than that recorded for the same period last year. For the year-to-date, exports have increased by 5%, while imports have surged 10.4%.

The rand held steady on the release of the statistics, trading at R14.18/$ at 14:00 before moving to R14.19/$ at 14:30.

Senior dealer at TreasuryONE Andre Botha  had warned in a market update earlier on Friday that if figures surprised on the “negative side” it would lead to rand weakness.

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