Share

SA's business confidence edges higher

Johannesburg - South Africa's business confidence index edged up to 91.9 in December from 90.8 in November.

The SA Chamber of Commerce and Industry said on Thursday after conducting a survey despite the good news, there were still concern about the economic outlook.

"The economic outlook for 2014 remains varied from cautiously optimistic to concerns about a risk-prone environment,"  Sacci said.

"Although this is the highest reading for the BCI in the second half of 2013, it remained 1.1 index points below the December 2012 level," Sacci said.

The average BCI for the second half of 2013 stood at 91.1, slightly lower than the 91.7 for the first half of 2013.

Climate

Compared to previous years, the annual performance for the BCI was the worst since 1999 when it averaged 87.6 index points.

"It is important to nurture all aspects of the business climate that would promote a spirit of optimism in the business fraternity."

Sacci said the improvement in business confidence in December came after a year fraught with, among others, labour disputes, which led to disruptions in businesses.

"The slight improvement that surfaced in the last half of 2013 in a still fragile economic situation holds risks for South Africa's credit and sovereign ratings.

"It is therefore important to build on the improved December 2013 BCI despite ongoing economic concerns and the upcoming election campaign," Sacci said.

Financing cost

While manufacturing and exports grew on a year-on-year basis, other BCI sub-indices contributed to a lesser extent.

These include municipal services and lower real financing cost.

Five of the sub-indices had a negative impact on business confidence.

There were varied views on the outlook for 2013.

"Although business confidence was slightly up in December 2013 after a disheartening performance in November 2013, the economic outlook for 2014 remains varied from cautiously optimistic to concerns about a risk-prone environment."

Sacci listed various matters which could have an impact on business confidence.

These included questions around the implementation of the National Development Plan and the capacity of the public sector to perform.

Commodity

On the global front, the world economy was expected to perform better this year, growing by about 3.6%.

But problems in China's banking finance could pose risks -- specifically where commodity prices were concerned.

"This could impact negatively on commodity exporting countries like South Africa."

In addition, Sacci said the complexities of the South African economy should also be factored in.

"These mainly are the deficit on the current account of the BoP [Balance of Payments];

* Serious fiscal limitations on all levels of government;

* The possibility of rising interest rates towards year-end;

* Rand weakness and inflationary consequences;

* Service delivery weaknesses;

* High levels of household debt and

* Corruption in the public and private sector."
We live in a world where facts and fiction get blurred
Who we choose to trust can have a profound impact on our lives. Join thousands of devoted South Africans who look to News24 to bring them news they can trust every day. As we celebrate 25 years, become a News24 subscriber as we strive to keep you informed, inspired and empowered.
Join News24 today
heading
description
username
Show Comments ()
Rand - Dollar
19.24
-0.7%
Rand - Pound
23.93
-0.6%
Rand - Euro
20.56
-0.5%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.51
-0.9%
Rand - Yen
0.12
-0.6%
Platinum
912.50
-0.8%
Palladium
1,016.50
-0.9%
Gold
2,322.23
+0.0%
Silver
27.32
+0.1%
Brent Crude
88.42
+1.6%
Top 40
68,442
+0.6%
All Share
74,388
+0.5%
Resource 10
59,697
+0.1%
Industrial 25
104,014
+1.2%
Financial 15
15,892
-0.0%
All JSE data delayed by at least 15 minutes Iress logo
Company Snapshot
Editorial feedback and complaints

Contact the public editor with feedback for our journalists, complaints, queries or suggestions about articles on News24.

LEARN MORE
Government tenders

Find public sector tender opportunities in South Africa here.

Government tenders
This portal provides access to information on all tenders made by all public sector organisations in all spheres of government.
Browse tenders