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Putin pressured to cure ailing economy

Moscow - President Vladimir Putin is under pressure to show he has a prescription to cure Russia's rapidly growing economic ills in his annual state of the union address.

Western sanctions over the Ukraine crisis, sharp falls in global oil prices and the rouble's slide against the dollar culminated in an acknowledgement by government officials that Russia will enter recession next year.

Putin's popularity ratings are sky high and he has not faced any big protests over the economic decline, but questions are being asked about whether he has a plan to pull the $1.4trn economy out of crisis.

Federal budget revenues

"The greatest danger for the president is the economy, under the double pressure of sanctions and falling oil prices," commentator Kirill Rogov wrote in the business daily Vedomosti, which said this week the economy was seriously ill and Russia's leaders were refusing to admit it or do anything about it.

The annual state of the union address which Putin will deliver in the Kremlin on Thursday to members of both chambers of parliament, the government and other top officials provides the 62-year-old leader with a chance to answer his critics.

Opponents say that in previous years the speech has produced more promises than substance.

Pledges to wean the economy off its dependence on oil and natural gas exports, responsible for about half of federal budget revenues, have come to little.

Putin has given little hint of what he might do next, often preferring to send the message that Russia will "tough it out."

Blown a hole

He has also diverted attention from the economy by whipping up patriotism, including by annexing the Crimea peninsula, and blaming the United States and the European Union for many of Russia's problems as well as the crisis in Ukraine.

US President Barack Obama has said the tough economic situation could eventually help change Putin's course in other areas.

The 30% slide in oil prices has blown a hole in state finances and the rouble has lost more than 30% against the dollar this year. Russian companies and banks have large debts.

Analysts say Putin has avoided budget cuts in some areas, such as social spending and defence, because he does not want to look weak internationally or provoke unrest.

He is mindful of street protests against him in the winter of 2011-12, which critics say led to a clampdown on the opposition, and will be anxious to avoid more.
 

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