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Rates announcement - as it happened

Cape Town - South African Reserve Bank (Sarb) governor Gill Marcus on Thursday announced a repo rate hike of 25 basis points, following a three-day meeting with the monetary policy committee (MPC).

"The MPC has decided to continue on its gradual normalisation path and raise the repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 5.75% per annum, effective from Friday 18 July," said Marcus.

The last time Sarb adjusted the repurchase rate by less than 50 basis points was in October 2000.

Marcus said South Africa's economic growth outlook deteriorated and urged the implementation of reforms in order to boost growth.

"We would like to reiterate that monetary policy should not be seen as the growth engine of the economy. The sources of the below par growth performance are largely outside the realms of monetary policy."

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16:28



16:17

Consumers are already heeding calls to reduce borrowing and we are seeing declining consumer credit demand. In many ways we are also seeing far deeper changes taking place; the former environment of low rates and high credit use is being replaced by much greater caution,” says FNB CEO Jacques Celliers.


16:15

First National Bank says will lift its prime lending rate to 9.25% from 9% following the decision earlier today by the SARB Monetary Policy Committee to increase its lending rate by 0.25%. The new rate will take effect from 18 July 2014 and will be implemented on all prime-linked loans.


16:13

Numsa could face lawsuit, denies foul play

Numsa told Fin24:

The union has made a public call to all our striking members to be vigilant and guard against agent provocateurs or rotten none Numsa elements that want to hijack the strike. We have put in place extra measures to ensure that all our actions and pickets are peaceful. In the same breadth, we remain humbled by high levels of discipline and maturity displayed by our members. – Castro Ngobese, Numsa spokesperson


16:12

More pics of strike violence:



16:09



16:07

Rate hike disappointing for the housing market


16:06

Repo rate is the rate at which the central bank of a country lends money to commercial banks in the event of any shortfall of funds.




16:00



15:59

Not all gloom, savers will earn more interest on their savings.
Visit our Savings Issue


15:58

For consumers, their monthly bond repayment is the single largest expense. A home owner (or prospective buyer) with a bond of around R890 000 over a 20-year repayment period would have had to allow for an additional R284 per month following the January rate hike. – Samuel Seeff of Seeff Properties


15:57



15:55

Repo rate 5.75%, prime rate 9.25% - Nedbank first bank to adjust rate


15:54

Although not unexpected, the increase in the repo rate by 25 basis points following this week’s MPC meeting (17 July 2014), is unfortunate news for homeowners, as well as the growing contingent of aspirant, first-time buyers, and will ultimately be most felt by those who are already feeling the pressure of rising utilities costs and erosion in real household disposable income. - Dr Andrew Golding, Pam Golding Property


15:53

Rand slightly stronger at R10.70/$


15:53



15:53

Liang Du: Lending practices especially to lower earners must be looked at again - e.g. taking out too many loans


15:52

Fin24 user Andrew M writes: With inflation rising at a fast pace it was inevitable this would happen. Do not forget prices will again increase dependent on outcome of wage negotiations pre-empted by strike action.



15:52


15:52

Mike Schussler: It is a case of Sarb wanting to give consumers a reason not to buy that much to bring current account deficit down


15:51



15:51

Mike Schussler: Rand plays role in bigger food prices with knock-on effect on chickens etc


15:48

Mike Schussler: Food inflation is coming down due to our good rains


15:48

Mike Schussler: If Numsa is going to try and prove a point by striking longer than Amcu, we are in for trouble


15:47

Just in form a Fin24 user:


15:47

Mike Schussler: Does not make sense for Numsa to continue striking


15:45

Economist Liang Du: SA is slightly less attractive to investors than in January


15:44



15:44

Sarb hikes repo rate


15:43



15:43

Mike Schussler: Marcus is saying you must look at productivity versus the wages people are getting - but we do not have enough people in jobs.


15:42

Economist Mike Schussler: Marcus has to look at bigger picture - she wants people who save to have a bit more to save.


15:41



15:41

Considering that the housing market is finally on the mend, this is just too soon and will certainly do little to instill investor confidence or encourage economic growth. - Samuel Seeff of Seeff Properties


15:41



15:40

Although the latest NCR statistics show a positive trend, this is largely due to the effect of the credit amnesty. From what we can see at DebtBusters the current financial environment continues to be difficult, as our clients in the first quarter of 2014 required 102% of their net income to service their existing debt obligations, before they came to us. - Ian Wason CEO of DebtBusters



15:40



15:39

Despite interest rates remaining relatively low, today’s announcement will result in more pressure on an already struggling new vehicle sales market - Rudolf Mahoney of WesBank.


15:38

Cape Town - South African Reserve Bank (Sarb) governor Gill Marcus on Thursday announced a repo rate hike of 25 basis points, following a three-day meeting with the monetary policy committee (MPC).

“The MPC has decided to continue on its gradual normalisation path and raise the repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 5.75% per annum, effective from Friday 18 July,” said Marcus.

The repurchase rate is the interest rate at which the Sarb lends money to commercial banks.

The last time Sarb adjusted the repurchase rate by less than 50 basis points was in October 2000.

The Sarb has revised inflation forecasts to 6.3% in 2014, said Marcus.

Marcus said South Africa's growth outlook deteriorated and is compounded by labour unrest.

The Reserve Bank revised the GDP forecast to 1.7% compared to 2.1% previously.

Marcus said that the global economy is showing mixed signals. She said the US is expected to grow at 2% in 2014 from 3%, while the outlook for the eurozone has also deteriorated.

Marcus warned in January that the bank is in a rate hiking cycle, announcing a 50 basis-point rate hike at  at the time.

She said the outlook for emerging markets also remains subdued.

Click here to see how the announcement unfolded.


15:37

Just in from a Fin24 user on the Numsa strike: "
Strikers will get what is coming for them sooner or later, for every action there will be a reaction, they have started something that has gone out of control. Don't they realise the pen is mightier than the sword."

15:36

Rand now trading at R10.71/$


15:34

More strike damage images from Fin24 users:



15:33


15:33


15:32

Marcus: Challenge is what to do to ensure inclusive growth and generate employment as well



15:32


15:32

Marcus: MPC vote was: 6 to 1 vote - 1 person said hold, 1 said 50 basis points


15:32

Marcus: Strong common understanding of what the issues are among MPC members



15:31


15:31

Marcus: Any future moves in rates will be highly data dependent - hiking cycle will be gradual to address rising inflation and slowing growth


15:31

Marcus: Must achieve higher and more inclusive growth


15:31

Marcus: Must get SA back to work


15:30

Marcus: Raising by 25 basis points


15:30



15:30

Marcus: We have to be mindfull of supply side shocks


15:30

Marcus: Inflation expectations remained relatively anchored but could be risk of becoming dislodged


15:29

Marcus: Possibility of a wage price spiral has increased


15:29

Marcus: Metal strike could have wider impact on weak outlook which monetary policy cannot ameliorate



15:29



15:29

Marcus: Should current trends persist, expect further slight increase in petrol price in August


15:28

Marcus: Domestic petrol prices driven mostly by exchange rate changes



15:28




15:28

Marcus: Food prices will remain highly sensitive to exchange rate



15:27



15:27

Marcus: Global food price pressures


15:27

Marcus: Agriculture producer inflation declined


15:27



15:27

Marcus: Attention must be paid to excessive pay to executives


15:26

Marcus: MPC concerned that recent wage settlements could set precedent without higher productivity


15:26



15:25

Marcus: Upside risk to inflation outlook



15:25




15:25

Marcus: Weakening household consumption expenditure.


15:24

SME owners confirm a class action lawsuit against Numsa, once this strike is finished, for our damages. "I have already surveyed other employers in the area who will join our action." say a small business owner in Johannesburg.


15:23





15:23




15:22

Marcus: Growth in credit to corporate sector has increased steadily due in part to renewable energy contracts.


15:19

 A SME owner send this pic to show how his business has been damaged.


15:19

Marcus: Marked moderation of spending by households.


15:18

Marcus: Weak private sector investment.


15:18

Fin24 receiving a stream of SME owners hit by metals strike: One just in -

"
I own a Glass and Aluminium business in Jet Park, and due to intimidation of my staff, and out of fear for their safety, we have been forced to shut for almost 2 weeks now."


15:18

Marcus: Current strike by metal workers is likely to undermine the outlook.


15:18

Marcus: Manufacturing performance has been disappointing.


15:18

Marcus: Mining sector contracted, mainly driven by strike impact.


15:16

Marcus: Sharp decline in manufacturing.


15:15

Marcus: Impact of continued labour disruptions.


15:15

Marcus: Since early June rand has largely decoupled from its emerging market peers.


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15:14

Marcus: Rand has depreciated since previous MPC meeting.


15:14

Marcus: Exchange rate of rand still upside risk


15:13

Marcus: UK expected to be the first in EU to raise interest rates.


15:13

Marcus: Concerns that current low interest rates may encourage excessive risk taking.


15:12

Marcus: Outlook for emerging markets remain relatively subdued.


15:12

Marcus: Real output in Japan is expected to contract.


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15:11

Marcus: Early optimism that US will grow at 3% in 2014 has been moderated – partly due to weather conditions and health care costs.


15:11

Marcus: Reuters survey shows: on average for inflation to peak in second quarter and return to target range in first quarter of 2015.


15:09

Rand/dollar exchange rate now at R10.72


15:08

Marcus: Average inflation expectation for 2014 and 2015 remains unchanged at 6.1% for both years, declining to 5.9% in 2016.


15:08

Marcus: Moderate upward pressure from exchange rate.


15:07

Marcus: Inflation now expected to be 6.3% in 2014


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15:06

Marcus: Transport index increased despite 15c per litre decline in petrol price in May.


15:05

Marcus: Food and non-alcoholic price inflation were main drivers


15:05

Marcus: Possible wage hike spiral – in excess of inflation has added to the upside risk of inflation outlook.


15:03

Marcus: Economic growth outlook has deteriorated due to strikes

15:03

Sarb governor Gill Marcus opens MPC floor, with announcements, welcomes.



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