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Unilever sees no improvement after weak 2014

Jan 20 2015 14:30

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Unilever beats forecasts

 

London - Consumer goods group Unilever expects another sluggish year, after a slowdown in emerging markets and flagging developed economies curbed demand for everything from soup to soap in 2014.

The maker of Dove soap and Lipton tea posted lower-than-expected growth in underlying sales for the final quarter of 2014, the industry's weakest year in recent memory. Its Chinese business was particularly hard hit, with quarterly sales down 20% as retailers cut inventories there.

Unilever makes more than half of its sales in emerging markets and so is particularly exposed to slowing demand in once fast-growing countries such as India and Brazil, as well as the sharp economic deterioration in Russia.

Sales - excluding currency moves, acquisitions and disposals - rose 2.1% in the fourth quarter, in line with the third quarter which was its weakest in five years.

Analysts on average were expecting a 2.6% rise.

"We do not plan on a significant improvement in market conditions in 2015," chief executive Paul Polman said.

"Against this background, we expect our full year performance to be similar to 2014 with the first quarter being softer but growth improving during the year."

The Anglo-Dutch group said underlying sales rose 2.9% in 2014 as a whole, versus analysts' estimate for 3.1%.

Developed markets were flat, with a modest pick-up in North America partly offset by a shrinking market in Europe.

Sales should rise 2% to 4% this year, Polman said, with the first quarter at the low end of the range. Foreign exchange rates could give a 3% boost to sales and profits if they stay constant.

RBC Capital Markets analyst James Edwardes Jones said the consensus forecast was for 3.7% growth, "so it feels as though the risks are to the downside."

Falling oil prices are giving companies such as Unilever breathing room, but finance chief Jean-Marc Huet said the benefit depended on how long they stayed low, exchange rates and the need to cut prices to keep up with competition.

"That's the big question for 2015," Huet told Reuters.

Last year, Unilever's core operating profit was €7.02bn, above a forecast of €6.9bn, helped by cost cuts.

Unilever's shares, which have benefited recently from investors trading out of Nestle due to the soaring Swiss franc, were down 1.7% to 2 681 pence at 12:25.

Following the sale of several underperforming brands, Polman said there could be further portfolio pruning.

Last month, Unilever formed a separate unit for its struggling spreads business, but dismissed speculation it was a precursor to a sale or spin-off.

unilever  |  retail
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