SA in recession as GDP tanks
May 26 2009 11:58
Johannesburg - South Africa's real gross domestic product (GDP) dropped on a quarter-on-quarter basis by -6.4% in the first quarter of 2009, from -1.8% in the fourth quarter of 2008.
This is a seasonally adjusted annnualised figure which ushers in the first recession in 17 years, Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) data showed on Tuesday.
Growth was expected to have decreased by 3.9% on a quarter-on-quarter basis, according to a consensus survey undertaken by I-Net Bridge. The range of forecasts was from -0.7% to -5.2%.
Non-seasonally adjusted year-on-year (y/y) GDP in the first quarter was placed at -1.3% from 1.0%.
Fanie Joubert, economist at Efficient Group, said it's a terrible figure: "It's much worse than what the market expected; it's almost double ... This confirms that South Africa is in a technical recession and growth
is under pressure."
I-Net Bridge
