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Johannesburg - Market expectations have resulted in the underlying company forming part of the new Redefine stable delivering the best total return in the listed property sector for the year to date.
But the bull run could be fairly short-lived, analysts believe.
The latest Catalyst report on listed property shows that Redefine has produced a total yield (income and capital) of 26.58%, followed by ApexHi's C units with 21.65%, Madison with 19.05%, ApexHi's B units with 19.02%, and ApexHi's A units with 16.05%.
The total return for the South African listed property index for the year to date is 5.41%.
Catalyst investment analyst Zayd Sulaiman says it would seem that the performance is being driven by the market pricing in a re-rating of the units in the merged Redefine.
There appears to be a rising demand for the units, because the new enlarged entity could probably be included in the international MSCI Emerging Markets Index, he notes.
Units in Growthpoint, the biggest South African listed property company, experienced a similar run in November 2008 after the company was included in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, and after that in the Alsi Top 40 index.
But the run did not persist and this year Growthpoint's total yield had underperformed by the end of July.
Sulaiman considers this could be the case with Redefine as well, where a correction might occur mid-term.
The new Redefine will list on August 17, bringing the total number of issued Redefine units to 2 648 662 134 and lifting the market value to about R19bn.
This falls just short of that of Growthpoint, which has a market value of about R19.2bn.
The weakening underlying fundamentals of the listed property sector in the current economic climate will have an effect on future distribution growth.
Market consensus is that distribution growth could be expected to slow to the high single digits from the average double digits experienced in the past two or three years.
- Sake24.com
For more business news in Afrikaans, go to Sake24.com.