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Dollar holds gains on Fed rate hike bets

Tokyo - The dollar held its ground on Wednesday as traders bet on a US rate hike while poor Japanese factory output pressured the yen.

Investors have been piling into the greenback since Fed boss Janet Yellen hinted last week that the world's top economy may be strong enough to withstand higher borrowing costs.

She did not supply a time frame, but Yellen's remarks boosted speculation a move could come before year's end.

The case for a rate hike - a plus for the dollar - won more support on Tuesday as US consumer confidence in August sat at its highest level in almost a year.

On Tuesday the Fed's vice chairman Stanley Fischer told Bloomberg TV that any movement in rates was dependent on data, adding that "employment is very close to full employment".

Investors' focus is now on Friday's jobs creation report, which could be pivotal in the Fed's decision-making ahead of next month's policy meeting, although there are some reservations about whether a move will be made then.

"The Fed's more upbeat mood and a summer of record highs on Wall Street have boosted the US dollar's yield appeal," Sean Callow, a senior currency strategist at Westpac Banking, told Bloomberg News.

"Payrolls is certainly very important, though there are strong indications that seasonal factors will ensure the headline reading will not provide the Fed with the slam dunk it needs for a September hike."

On Wednesday in Tokyo, the dollar edged down slightly to ¥102.98 from ¥103.02 in New York, but it was still well up from ¥102.23 in Tokyo earlier on Tuesday.

"So far we've seen limited follow through above ¥103 in Asia-Pacific on light volumes, which indicates that while traders are willing to kick the can from news event to news event, they are keeping the powder dry for Friday's NFP (non-farm payrolls) fallout," said Stephen Innes, a senior trader at forex firm OANDA.

The greenback also booked gains against most Asian emerging currencies, edging up against the Malaysian ringgit, Taiwan dollar, Thai baht, Philippine peso and Indonesian rupiah.

The euro was marginally stronger at $1.1156 and ¥114.88 against $1.1143 and ¥114.80 in US trade.

Japan's currency was pressured as a flat reading for July industrial production stirred fears about the economy.
 
The numbers will heap more pressure on the Bank of Japan to unleash another wave of growth-boosting stimulus when it meets in late September, which would tend to weaken the yen.
 
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