Share

Shares lifted by stimulus hopes

Tokyo - Asian shares rose on Wednesday as concerns that Europe's financial strains could intensify following a warning from Spain that it was being shut out of credit markets fuelled hopes that policy makers will unveil fresh monetary stimulus measures.

European shares were seen higher, with spreadbetters predicting major European markets to open as much as 1.5% higher. US stock futures were up 0.6%.

The European Central Bank is due to announce the outcome of its latest policy meeting at 12:45 GMT, although the market consensus is that it will hold its key interest rate unchanged at 1%.

Data showing the Australian economy grew a surprisingly strong 1.3% in the first quarter lifted the Australian dollar 1% to $0.9840 and pushed shares there up 0.2% from negative territory.

Commodities rose as the dollar weakened on the back of the euro's recovery and the rebound in the Aussie, typically linked to risk appetite.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1.2%, while Tuesday's data showing the US services sector improved in May underpinned Japan's Nikkei average, which jumped 1.6%.

"Asian equities markets are moving on various expectations but the strongest driver is growing hopes for monetary policy stimulus to fend off contagion from Europe," said Hirokazu Yuihama, a senior strategist at Daiwa Securities in Tokyo.

Spain sent a distress signal on Tuesday about the impact of the country's banking crisis on government borrowing, saying Madrid was losing access to funding from markets at current rates and urged Europe to help revive its troubled banks.

However, sources told Reuters that no decisions can be made on how to help Madrid recapitalise its banks until the first phase of an independent banking audit is completed this month.

Market players are now eyeing central bank action to help support fragile global growth and stabilise markets, after finance ministers from the Group of Seven major economies held inconclusive emergency talks on the eurozone on Tuesday.

The move by the Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday to cut interest rates for a second month running by 25 basis points to 3.5%, partly due to a darkening global outlook, fed expectations that others such as South Korea, which kept rates steady at 3.25% for the 11th consecutive month in May, could follow suit, Daiwa Securities' Yuihama said.

"Such expectations are prompting investors to look for bargains as valuations for Asian equities now suggest they are more than oversold to levels that reflect an extremely pessimistic scenario," he said.

He took particular note of Shanghai shares and the China Enterprises index of top Hong Kong-listed mainland firms, or H-shares. According to Thomsonreuters I/B/E/S, the price to earnings ratio of H-shares stood at 6.6 times against a long-run average of 11.5, while the P/E of Shanghai shares was at 9.5 times, compared to its long-term average of 16.1.

Hopes of policy action

Prospects were less than certain for global central bank policy action to revive the economic recovery, ahead of the European Central Bank's ECB monthly rate-setting meeting later on Wednesday, and US Federal Reserve Chairperson Ben Bernanke's testimony before a congressional panel on Thursday.

"The consensus is for the European Central Bank to keep the benchmark rate unchanged ... perhaps it will look to keep its powder dry until more is known from both the Greek elections and then any subsequent policy response from governments, something that the ECB is keen to promote," said Chris Weston, institutional trader at IG Markets.

James Bullard, president of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, and Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher on Tuesday suggested the US central bank was not preparing to ease monetary policy at a meeting later this month, saying the economic outlook had not deteriorated to the point where action was warranted.

The euro added 0.4% to $1.2496, off Tuesday's one-week peak of $1.2543 but still above a near two-year trough of $1.2288 hit on Friday.

The euro was likely to be capped below $1.25, with Tuesday's purchasing managers indexes showing the euro area's vast private economy shrank in May at the fastest pace in nearly three years, with company order books collapsing, suggesting even Germany is no longer immune to the crisis.

Sentiment was hardly helped by Moody's Investors Service downgrading the credit ratings of several German banks on Wednesday, citing increased risk of further shocks emanating from the eurozone debt crisis and their limited loss-absorption capacity.

The yen eased against the dollar to ¥78.84 after Japan on Tuesday signalled it was prepared to intervene to curb its currency. The Japanese currency even fell against the euro and traded down 0.6% at ¥98.53 on Wednesday.

The euro's rise and the dollar's broad weakness supported oil and gold prices. Spot gold rose 0.6% to $1 626.26 an ounce, approaching a one-month peak hit last week.

US crude futures rose 0.7% to $84.87 a barrel and Brent gained 0.5% to $99.30 a barrel.

The cost of insuring against corporate and sovereign defaults in Asia eased on Wednesday, narrowing the spread on the iTraxx Asia ex-Japan investment-grade index by 6 basis points.

We live in a world where facts and fiction get blurred
Who we choose to trust can have a profound impact on our lives. Join thousands of devoted South Africans who look to News24 to bring them news they can trust every day. As we celebrate 25 years, become a News24 subscriber as we strive to keep you informed, inspired and empowered.
Join News24 today
heading
description
username
Show Comments ()
Rand - Dollar
18.58
-0.4%
Rand - Pound
23.22
-0.3%
Rand - Euro
19.97
-0.3%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.22
-0.1%
Rand - Yen
0.12
+0.2%
Platinum
977.90
-0.1%
Palladium
955.54
-1.9%
Gold
2,309.19
-0.2%
Silver
27.31
+0.2%
Brent-ruolie
83.16
-0.2%
Top 40
70,939
+0.2%
All Share
77,177
+0.3%
Resource 10
60,903
-0.2%
Industrial 25
107,610
+0.4%
Financial 15
16,775
+0.4%
All JSE data delayed by at least 15 minutes Iress logo
Company Snapshot
Editorial feedback and complaints

Contact the public editor with feedback for our journalists, complaints, queries or suggestions about articles on News24.

LEARN MORE
Government tenders

Find public sector tender opportunities in South Africa here.

Government tenders
This portal provides access to information on all tenders made by all public sector organisations in all spheres of government.
Browse tenders