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Shares guarded over likely Greek debt deal

Jan 30 2012 07:33 Reuters

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Tokyo - Asian shares inched down and the euro fell from its highest in more than six weeks on Monday, as markets cautiously tuned in to a likely debt swap deal for Greece that is crucial to avoiding a messy default and eyed yet another European summit meeting.

Commodities from copper to oil also slipped after a rally last week that followed the Federal Reserve's pledge to keep interest rates low, while the dollar index, measured against major currencies, regained some ground from Friday's fall to a seven-week low.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan eased 0.3% after hitting its highest since late October earlier. It gained 2% last week for its fourth consecutive weekly increase.

A slower-than-expected annualised 2.8% growth in the US economy in the fourth quarter, albeit the fastest quarterly rate in one-and-a-half years, weighed on world stocks on Friday. The Nikkei stock average shed 0.6%, falling for a third straight session.

Chinese markets reopened with a drop, after being shut last week for the Lunar New Year holidays.

Greece appeared to be close to clinching a bond swap agreement with private creditors and Prime Minister Lucas Papademos sought backing from leading Greek party leaders for painful reforms.

The debt swap agreement would not be reached in time for the European Union summit meeting later on Monday, where EU leaders are expected to sign off on a permanent rescue fund for the eurozone and agree on inserting a balanced budget rule into national legislation.

"As focus shifts to the second Greek bailout fund from the debt swap deal, it's likely that sentiment will revert to risk aversion, given that talks are expected to face hurdles before reaching an agreement," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief currency strategist at Barclays Bank in Tokyo.

"Macroeconomic conditions are not that bad, with some signs of European growth bottoming out and US data suggesting a recovery path, but markets appear to have been too optimistic and holding out too much hope, despite so much uncertainty still surrounding the Greek issue," he said.

A successful second Greek bailout scheme could ease tension over Portugal, while difficult talks risk reigniting fund raising concerns over Italy and Spain, Yamamoto said.

The euro fell 0.2% to $1.3190, after climbing to $1.3235 on Friday to its highest since mid-December. Latest data showed currency speculators raised their net euro short positions - bets on the currency falling - to a fifth straight record high in the week ended January 24.

Portugal saps optimism

Investors were seeing Portugal as the next potential default after Greece, selling off its stocks and bonds just as some stability was returning to other highly indebted countries that had been battered by the markets only recently.

On Friday, Italy's six-month borrowing costs dropped below 2% to the lowest level since May, while Spanish 10-year government bond yields hit their lowest level since November 2010.

Italy faces a more challenging sale of longer-dated debt on Monday.

The markets brushed off Fitch Ratings' downgrade of Italy, Spain, Belgium, Slovenia and Cyprus.

Interbank lending rates in Europe fell on Friday to their lowest level since March 2011, down more than 30 basis points since the European Central Bank injected huge amounts of liquidity into the system in December.

Reflecting improved sentiment last week, investors crowded into emerging markets equity and debt funds and US equity, bond and high-yield funds in the week ended January 25, data from EPFR Global showed on Friday.

Gold eased after earlier rising to its highest in more than seven weeks near $1 740 and rallying nearly 5% last week. Copper also recoiled from a four-month high and a 3.7% gain last week while Brent slipped after rising nearly 2% last week.

Ten-year US Treasury yield ticked lower in Asia on Monday to 1.87% from 1.90% in late US trade, while Japanese government bonds tracked Friday's rise in Treasuries, with the 10-year yield dipping to 0.960%, near a 14-month low of 0.935% hit two weeks ago.

 
 
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It pays to know the cost and what you’re getting in return
May 28 2012 09:33

Investors may not have a clue what they’re paying their money managers or they type of service they’re getting, or, whether they can actually negotiate lower fees. (Reuters)

Sasha

"In the short term this is true, Greece will dominate the headlines on a day to day basis, until their next elections when there would be some clarity to answer the question, "What next for Greece?" Amazingly everyone except the politicians seem to be lining themselves up for worst case scenario, b... Read their blog...

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