Share

Shares consolidate, dollar steadies

Tokyo - Asian shares steadied on Friday while the dollar took a breather after its recent broad rally spurred profit-taking, with some investors wondering if a fresh batch of encouraging economic data would put further upward pressure on US yields.

Financial spread bets are for major European markets to open flat to 0.1% higher.

The MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index was barely changed, set for a weekly gain of 0.8%. The index has risen 13.6% so far this year, recovering three-quarters of an 18% loss posted last year.

Japan's Nikkei steadied and held near an eight-month high reached on Thursday. The benchmark is up nearly 20% this year, reclaiming all of last year's 17% drop.

Analysts say the rebound is being driven mostly by investors buying back assets which they sold heavily last year when concerns were intensifying over the eurozone's debt crisis spinning out of control and hurting global growth.

Sentiment has improved since then on signs of stronger US growth, after Greece secured a second international bailout and capital conditions improved at big US banks. Fears of another global financial crisis have eased substantially, too, as central banks took aggressive measures to flood the financial system with ample cash.

The dollar dipped 0.1% against the yen to ¥83.48, retreating from an 11-month high of ¥84.187 touched on Thursday. The euro steadied against the dollar at $1.3087, off Thursday's one-month low of $1.3004.

The dollar's strength is closely linked to the rise in US Treasury yields, where views on the outlook are mixed.

"The dollar's upside depends on whether US yields will keep rising, and that in turn will determine how long a risk-on momentum will last," said Tohru Sasaki, head of Japan rates and FX research at JPMorgan Chase Bank in Tokyo.

Yield assessment key

The Standard & Poor's 500 index closed above 1 400 on Thursday for the first time since June 2008, having risen about 11.5% this year without a major pullback, while European shares have also nearly recovered last year's declines.

"The market is still going through a relief rally more than chasing a new trend on global growth," Barclays Capital analysts said.

"We are getting into profit-taking territory," they added.

Positive economic data has prompted a scaling back of expectations for more monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, putting upward pressure on US yields.

US Treasuries stabilised on Thursday after the biggest selloff in four months, with the 10-year yield falling to 2.28% from a high of 2.35% reached earlier in the week, the highest since late October.

Thursday's data showed claims for US jobless benefits fell to a four-year low last week, while the New York Federal Reserve's Empire State general business conditions index hit its highest since June 2010 last month. The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's business activity index also showed manufacturing kept growing in the region this month.

"Since US yields broke recent ranges, what had served as a ceiling may become a floor, but US yields aren't likely to keep rising just yet," said a manager at a Japanese insurance firm, adding that the 10-year Treasury yield could top out at around 2.4%  - 2.5%.

US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner noted challenges the US economy faces on Thursday, such as creating jobs and fostering expansion, while Richmond Federal Reserve Bank's president, Jeffrey Lacker, said on Friday that US interest rates would need to rise sooner than late 2014, the date until which the Fed has said it would keep interest rates near zero.

Oil rebounds

With the dollar taking a pause, the euro's rebound helped support gold on Friday, but bullion was set for a third straight week of losses as investors shifted to riskier assets.

"There's little need for a safe haven at the moment," said Lynette Tan, an analyst with Phillip Futures in Singapore.

Spot gold was up 0.1% to $1 659 an ounce, while copper slipped 0.3% to $8 541 a tonne, although an improved US economic outlook supported prices.

Oil rebounded after a sharp decline on Thursday when Reuters reported that Britain had decided to cooperate with the United States in an agreement to release oil from government-controlled strategic reserves.

US crude was up 0.3% at $105.45 a barrel on Friday and Brent was up 0.3% near $123 a barrel.

Asian credit markets firmed strongly on Friday, with the spread on the iTraxx Asia ex-Japan investment-grade index narrowing by 8 basis points.

We live in a world where facts and fiction get blurred
Who we choose to trust can have a profound impact on our lives. Join thousands of devoted South Africans who look to News24 to bring them news they can trust every day. As we celebrate 25 years, become a News24 subscriber as we strive to keep you informed, inspired and empowered.
Join News24 today
heading
description
username
Show Comments ()
Rand - Dollar
19.01
-0.2%
Rand - Pound
23.65
-0.1%
Rand - Euro
20.18
-0.1%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.22
-0.0%
Rand - Yen
0.12
-0.1%
Platinum
982.90
+0.6%
Palladium
1,035.00
-1.4%
Gold
2,386.86
+0.1%
Silver
28.83
-0.1%
Brent Crude
90.10
-0.4%
Top 40
68,349
0.0%
All Share
74,519
0.0%
Resource 10
63,879
0.0%
Industrial 25
100,148
0.0%
Financial 15
15,828
0.0%
All JSE data delayed by at least 15 minutes Iress logo
Company Snapshot
Editorial feedback and complaints

Contact the public editor with feedback for our journalists, complaints, queries or suggestions about articles on News24.

LEARN MORE
Government tenders

Find public sector tender opportunities in South Africa here.

Government tenders
This portal provides access to information on all tenders made by all public sector organisations in all spheres of government.
Browse tenders