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Markets firmer as focus turns to Fed

Jan 25 2012 09:07 Reuters

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Tokyo - Asian shares rose on Wednesday, underpinned by strong earnings from US technology giant Apple, stabilising European money markets and falling eurozone debt yields, with investors shifting their focus from Europe to the US Federal Reserve.

The MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.8% and hit an 11-week high, led by the financial sector and a rally in Australia.

Australian shares rose 1.1% to a near seven-week high and its currency ticked higher after the nation's tame consumer price index in the fourth-quarter lifted hopes for a rate cut.

Japan's Nikkei average reached a three-month high and closed up 1.1%, boosted by a jump in Apple, which reported quarterly results far exceeding analysts' expectations, and a weaker yen which bolstered exporters.

Financial spreadbetters expected Britain's FTSE 100, Germany's DAX and France's CAC-40 to open up around 0.3% - 0.5%.

Some Asian markets reopened on Wednesday but China and Hong Kong remained closed for the lunar new year holiday.

Generally lower valuations in Asia relative to the United States - with the pan-Asian index carrying a 12-month forward price to earnings ratio of 11.56 against 12.27 for the Standard & Poor's 500 index - also spurred buying.

"Large-cap tech shares rallied across the board following Apple's forecast-beating quarterly results, while steady offshore purchases lent further support," said Lee Jae-hoon, an analyst at Mirae Asset Securities.

Watching the Fed

The US Federal Reserve ends its two-day policy meeting later on Wednesday, the first of 2012, and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will start a new practice of announcing policymakers' interest rate projections.

Worries about Greece possibly facing a disorderly default still tempered risk-taking, keeping the euro below a three-week high hit on Tuesday.

But expectations for a prolonged period of ultra-low US interest rates and recent resilience in global stocks and the euro despite stumbling talks over Greece's bailout may strengthen downward pressure on the dollar, said Junya Tanase, chief currency strategist at JPMorgan Chase in Tokyo.

"Europe remains a concern every day, but for today the focus is on the FOMC," he said.

"The Fed suggesting the possibility of a prolonged period of super-low rate environment could highlight the dollar's relative weakness in light of a recent trend of improving sentiment."

The euro was steady around $1.3025, off a three-week high of $1.3063 hit on Tuesday. The yen touched a four-week low against the dollar just below ¥78.

The dollar index, measured against six key currencies, hovered near a three-week low below 80 hit on Monday.

The yen reacted little to Japan's trade data which showed the country logged an annual trade deficit in 2011 for the first time in 31 years, as expected, with last year's earthquake and tsunami, weak global demand and a strong yen battering exports.

State of the union

A firmer tone across the markets hoisted London copper to a four-month high, with President Barack Obama's proposal in his State of the Union address to boost US infrastructure spending lending support.

Oil rose, with Brent crude holding above $110 a barrel on supply concerns as Iran renewed a threat to close the vital Strait of Hormuz and hopes for stronger demand growth.

Greece kept hopes alive for a last-minute bond swap deal to avoid a messy default after eurozone officials set talks back to square one by rejecting a final offer from the country's private bondholders.

Despite the debt crisis, data suggested the eurozone may avoid a recession.

Markit's Flash Eurozone Purchasing Managers' Composite Index, a gauge of overall economic performance, showed the eurozone's economy grew in January for the first time since August, confounding forecasts for a contraction.

But the International Monetary Fund further chopped its estimate for 2012 global growth to 3.3% from 4% just three months ago, warning of a further deterioration if Europe fails to resolve the crisis sooner.

Factors which have supported sentiment recently remained intact, with money market rates treading lower and strong investor demand driving down Spanish short-term debt yields sharply to multi-month lows.

 
 
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It pays to know the cost and what you’re getting in return
May 28 2012 09:33

Investors may not have a clue what they’re paying their money managers or they type of service they’re getting, or, whether they can actually negotiate lower fees. (Reuters)

Sasha

"In the short term this is true, Greece will dominate the headlines on a day to day basis, until their next elections when there would be some clarity to answer the question, "What next for Greece?" Amazingly everyone except the politicians seem to be lining themselves up for worst case scenario, b... Read their blog...

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