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Markets ease as Greek debt talks flounder

Tokyo - The euro retreated from a three-week high on Tuesday and Asian shares gave up most of their early gains as crucial negotiations on Greek debt restructuring suffered another major setback, raising the spectre of default.

Financial spreadbetters expected Britain's FTSE 100, Germany's DAX and France's CAC-40 to open down around 0.4% -0.6%.

The MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose as much as 0.2% to a 10-week high before easing to stand barely changed, as Australian shares pared earlier gains to end flat on concerns about Europe.

The pan-Asia index, on the other hand, drew some support from Indian shares, which extended gains after the Reserve Bank of India cut the cash reserve ratio for banks, underscoring a policy shift from fighting inflation to reviving growth.

Japan's Nikkei average ended up 0.2% at its highest closing level in nearly three months on hopes that a Greek debt deal may still be salvaged.

Activity was thin, however, with many Asian markets still closed for the lunar new year holiday.

US stock futures slipped 0.3% as investors awaited earnings reports from bellwhethers such as Apple later in the week and the outcome of a two-day Federal Reserve meeting which ends on Wednesday.

Eurozone finance ministers on Monday rejected an offer made by private bondholders to help restructure Greece's debts, sending negotiators back to the drawing board.

The ministers also discussed efforts to enforce stricter budget rules for European Union states and steps to finalise the structure of a permanent eurozone bailout fund.

The fund is a key safety net to contain the eurozone debt crisis and Germany is playing a major role. Germany denied a report on Monday that it was ready to boost the combined firepower of the eurozone's rescue funds to €750bn.

"The outcome of PSI (Greek debt) discussions, good or bad, can hardly surprise market participants at this stage," said analysts at Barclays Capital in a research note.

"However, stretched sentiment suggests that the risk asset rally (of recent weeks) may be losing steam and is temporarily vulnerable," they said.

Euro loses steam

The setback in the Greek debt talks pushed the euro off a three-week peak around $1.3050 hit on Monday.

The single currency slipped to a session low below $1.2990 after a report raised fears that Portugal, another eurozone member as highly vulnerable as Greece, could potentially face default.

The euro last stood at $1.3009, well above a 17-month trough near $1.2624 plumbed on January 13, but sentiment may be further dented later in the day with the release of Markit's flash Eurozone Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), a measure of the eurozone company activity.

The reports are expected to reflect deteriorating growth. A Reuters poll last week showed most economists believed the eurozone would wallow in a mild recession until the second half of this year, assuming the region's debt crisis does not flare out of control.

Risks posed by Europe's debt woes prompted the Bank of Japan to cut its growth forecasts on Tuesday.

While the debt crisis festers, sentiment has improved with positive effects from the lifelines extended to the European financial system by the European Central Bank (ECB) via its generous funding to ease funding strains partly overshadowing worries over an individual country's borrowing ability.

Ten-year Italian government bond yields fell 10 basis points at 6.17% on Monday, as European banks used ECB funding to buy more Spanish and Italian bonds. The yield was sharply off this month's high of 7.2%.

Receding concerns over Europe sapped safe haven appetite for US Treasuries, and the rise in Treasury yields pulled 10-year Japanese government cash bond yield up to above 1% on Tuesday, its highest since mid-December.

Reflecting stabilising market sentiment and receding fears of sharp market falls, the CBOE Volatility index VIX, which measures expected volatility in the S&P 500 over the next 30 days, was nearing a 2011 low of 14.30.

The VIX closed at 18.67 on Monday. Major 2011 lows around 14.30-15.25 have caused sizeable rallies, so a move towards these support levels could open the way for a continuation of the risk rally.

Oil prices held steady after gaining on Monday as EU foreign ministers agreed to ban imports of Iranian oil from the start of July to pressure Iran over its nuclear ambitions, a move that renewed threats by Teheran to block a vital oil export route.

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