Share

Global markets: Dollar sweeps to 14-month high

London - A robust dollar swept to a 14-month high on Tuesday as investors tweaked bets on an early hike in US interest rates, burdening oil, gold and stocks in the energy majors.

As the dollar broke to a six-year peak on the yen and a 14-month top against the euro, gold sagged to a three-month trough and Brent oil settled below the $100 a barrel mark.

Giving the dollar bulls encouragement was research from San Francisco Fed economists that showed investors are pricing in a lower trajectory for interest rates rises than members of the Fed itself are.

The dollar index, which benchmarks the dollar against six other major currencies, was up 0.25%, having climbed to a 14-month high of 84.519. A break above 84.753 would take it to highs not seen since July 2010.

"(The Fed report) has reinforced the stronger dollar trend that has been in place for the last couple months," said Lee Hardman, a currency strategist at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi in London.

"As we move forward we think we will increasingly see monetary policy diverge between the Fed and the other major central banks, and that is likely to be supportive for further gains against the euro and the yen."

European shares had opened on a more solid footing having been buffeted on Monday, particularly in London, by strong signs that the campaign for an independent Scotland was gaining momentum.

READ: European shares edge higher

The FTSE share index inched up 0.2%, closely followed by Frankfurt's Dax and the CAC 40 in Paris. Sterling, having seen its biggest fall in over two-and-a-half years on Monday, was steadier but stayed rooted at 10-month lows.

A second opinion poll released overnight again showed a marked increase in support for Scottish independence just nine days before the country votes on whether to break away from the United Kingdom.

READ: Sterling under pressure from Scottish vote

The TNS poll found support for the 'yes camp had risen six points to 38%, just a pip behind the 'No' vote at 39%. That followed a weekend YouGov poll showing approval of independence at 51% against the unity camp's 49%, the first this year to find a majority for a 'Yes' vote.

Dollar strength

The stronger dollar remained the day's overarching theme however. Oil and gas stocks underperformed as a result of the lower crude price while European bonds were being dragged around by the rise in US Treasury yields.

Ten-year treasuries rose to 2.490% overnight, up from a low of 2.3870 touched last Friday after a soft August payrolls report. The greenback raced to a high of ¥106.33, while the euro slumped to a low of $1.2868.

Investors were already giving the common currency a wide berth after the European Central Bank surprised on Thursday with a fresh round of stimulus.

A falling yen tends to be viewed as positive for Japanese exporters and corporate profits, and helped nudge the Nikkei share index to its highest close since January. Other markets in the region were subdued.

The CSI300 index of leading Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listings edged higher, having put in its best performance in a year last week with gains of almost 5%. That came as China's central bank also hiked the fixing for the yuan against the dollar to send it to a six-month high .

"The PBOC (central bank) has been set stronger midpoints since May when China's exports and trade surpluses have been recovering, guiding the yuan up gradually," said one trader.

The gains for the dollar meant losses for commodities, with gold down at $1 255.40 an ounce after losing more than 1% on Monday.

Brent crude oil eased another 24 cents to $99.96 per barrel, after slumping as far as $99.36 overnight, the lowest since May 2013.

READ: Brent crude hits 16-month low on weak data

US crude managed a modest bounce of 25c to $92.91. The price drop has led to expectations of an Opec output cut when Gulf Arab oil ministers gather on Thursday in Kuwait for the organisation's annual meeting.

"Oil at below a $100 a barrel is a little bit risky in the current market - $100 per barrel is really a central point for oil countries," Tetsu Emori, a commodity fund manager at Japan's Astmax said.

We live in a world where facts and fiction get blurred
Who we choose to trust can have a profound impact on our lives. Join thousands of devoted South Africans who look to News24 to bring them news they can trust every day. As we celebrate 25 years, become a News24 subscriber as we strive to keep you informed, inspired and empowered.
Join News24 today
heading
description
username
Show Comments ()
Rand - Dollar
19.26
-0.8%
Rand - Pound
23.98
-0.8%
Rand - Euro
20.59
-0.7%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.51
-1.0%
Rand - Yen
0.12
-0.7%
Platinum
914.80
-0.6%
Palladium
1,018.50
-0.7%
Gold
2,322.88
+0.0%
Silver
27.30
0.0%
Brent Crude
88.42
+1.6%
Top 40
68,567
+0.8%
All Share
74,509
+0.7%
Resource 10
59,880
+0.5%
Industrial 25
104,190
+1.4%
Financial 15
15,904
+0.1%
All JSE data delayed by at least 15 minutes Iress logo
Company Snapshot
Editorial feedback and complaints

Contact the public editor with feedback for our journalists, complaints, queries or suggestions about articles on News24.

LEARN MORE
Government tenders

Find public sector tender opportunities in South Africa here.

Government tenders
This portal provides access to information on all tenders made by all public sector organisations in all spheres of government.
Browse tenders