Share

Fed reassurance, earnings lift shares

Tokyo - Asian shares rose on Thursday, retaining positive momentum as the Federal Reserve reassured markets that it will keep its very accommodative stance to support growth, while optimism grew over strong quarterly corporate earnings.

Along with the Fed's assurance that its very easy monetary policy will be kept in place as long as needed, US stocks rallied on Wednesday after Apple reported quarterly profits nearly doubled.

Apple shares climbed nearly 9%, giving the Nasdaq its biggest gain of the year, and helping boost tech-heavy Asian markets such as Taiwan and South Korea.

About 75% of the 200 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported results so far have exceeded expectations, while European shares also rose on strong earnings results. But there was some skepticism that Asia may not see as big a gain as in overnight US and European markets.

"The main factor currently is the firmness in US markets, but in the end, it's Europe and China that hold key to whether markets can seek more upside," said Xiao Minjie, chief economist at FuNNeX Asset Management in Tokyo.

"China is unlikely to take specific monetary and economic stimulus until political struggle over leadership is cleared, while the euro zone's debt crisis remains a huge destabilising factor," he said.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan edged up 0.5%, with Hong Kong shares rising 0.5% on strong Chinese financials ahead of a slew of quarterly earnings. Australian shares added 0.4% as signs the Fed was prepared to offer more stimulus if needed boosted miners and banks.

Japan's Nikkei average lagged with a 0.1% rise.

Japanese earnings will likely be patchy, analysts said.

"Winners and losers will be identified by their ability to beat intensifying global competition," Xiao said, adding their handling in the aftermaths of last year's natural disasters such as the March 2011 earthquake in Japan and Thailand's severe floods also will demarcate winners from losers.

A recovery in equities helped firm Asian credit markets, with the spread on the iTraxx Asia ex-Japan investment-grade index tightening by 2 basis points.

In Japan's credit default swap market, long- and shor-term dealers played a tug-of-war, with buyers seeking protection recently pushing up spreads on electronic, steel and shipping names on bad fundamentals. But Japan's sovereign CDS tightened.

Neutral Bernanke

The dollar steadied after falling to a three-week low against a basket of major currencies on Wednesday following the outcome of the Fed's meeting, while the euro stood near a three-week high of $1.3237 touched the day before.

Fed Chairperson Ben Bernanke on Wednesday said US monetary policy was "more or less in the right place" even though the central bank would not hesitate to launch another round of bond purchases if the economy were to weaken.

The Fed also adjusted its economic forecasts to acknowledge an improving labour market and slightly higher inflation over the next few years, suggesting it has become somewhat less inclined to take more action to help the economic recovery.

"The totality of all new Fed communications ... have reinforced the idea that the policy bias is currently neutral and that the outlook remains highly dependent on incoming data," said Societe Generale in a note.

"There were a few vague and seemingly conflicting signals in today's communications, which probably reflect the difficulty in reconciling the very diverse views within the FOMC," it said.

Fragile spots remain

Fragile global growth kept the outlook mixed for South Korea.

Early on Thursday it reported gross domestic product growth accelerated in the January-March period from the previous quarter, but year-on-year growth was the slowest in two-and-a-half years, leaving analysts wondering if the economy has hit a bottom or not.

Oil futures were softer, with Brent crude slipping below $119 a barrel on Thursday, as easing concerns of a disruption in Iranian oil exports and as high US crude stocks offset optimism over a continued recovery in the US economy. US crude was down 0.1% around $104 a barrel.

Some positive signs from Europe also emerged as investors warmed up again to riskier assets.

A German government bond auction drew less in bids than the amount offered, suggesting flows into safe-haven assets may have been exaggerated, while the International Monetary Fund's stress tests showed most Spanish banks would be able to handle large economic shocks, although some remained fragile.

But German daily Sueddeutsche Zeitung wrote on Thursday, without citing sources, that the European Central Bank and a group of eurozone countries are working on a possible initiative to enable crisis-stricken banks to have direct access to Europe's permanent bailout fund.

"Only a surprisingly negative figure will reduce the market's optimism caused by the updated Fed outlook. Although don't be surprised that concerns over Europe will once again ruin the party," said Miguel Audencial, a trader with CMC Markets in Sydney.

We live in a world where facts and fiction get blurred
Who we choose to trust can have a profound impact on our lives. Join thousands of devoted South Africans who look to News24 to bring them news they can trust every day. As we celebrate 25 years, become a News24 subscriber as we strive to keep you informed, inspired and empowered.
Join News24 today
heading
description
username
Show Comments ()
Rand - Dollar
19.15
+0.1%
Rand - Pound
23.85
-0.1%
Rand - Euro
20.43
-0.2%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.30
+0.0%
Rand - Yen
0.12
+0.0%
Platinum
943.30
-0.8%
Palladium
1,021.50
-0.8%
Gold
2,383.80
+0.2%
Silver
28.42
+0.7%
Brent Crude
87.11
-0.2%
Top 40
67,069
-0.2%
All Share
73,117
-0.2%
Resource 10
62,902
-0.6%
Industrial 25
98,469
+0.1%
Financial 15
15,467
-0.1%
All JSE data delayed by at least 15 minutes Iress logo
Company Snapshot
Editorial feedback and complaints

Contact the public editor with feedback for our journalists, complaints, queries or suggestions about articles on News24.

LEARN MORE
Government tenders

Find public sector tender opportunities in South Africa here.

Government tenders
This portal provides access to information on all tenders made by all public sector organisations in all spheres of government.
Browse tenders