Share

ECB stimulus speculation sends stocks soaring

London - European stocks pushed higher Friday on fresh signals the European Central Bank (ECB) will launch a bond-buying stimulus programme next week, while the euro crashed below $1.15 for the first time in more than 11 years.

Frankfurt's DAX 30 rose 1.35% to a record close of 10 1677 points and hit an intra session record high of 10 207.97, while the CAC 40 in Paris gained 1.31% to 4 79.62.

London's benchmark FTSE 100 index rose 0.79% to 6 550.27 points.

Meanwhile Switerzerland's SMI tumbled 5.96%, still reeling from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) abruptly ending Thursday its policy to hold down the value of the franc, which saw the currency soar.

The SNB came under fire Friday for its surprise withdrawal of the floor of 1.20 francs to the euro, as the sharp rise of the currency threatens causing a slump in the export-dependent economy and has bankrupted several foreign exchange broker firms worldwide.

A brokerage in Britain and another in New Zealand declared insolvency Friday as they were caught out by the swift rise in the franc, while the shares of a US brokerage were suspended.

On Thursday, the Swiss unit had rapidly strengthened 30% to 0.8517 before ending the day at 1.0035, a gain of around 15%.

The franc stabilised around parity with the euro, trading at 0.9818 Swiss francs to the euro late on Friday.

The SNB had been defending the exchange rate floor since September 2011 in an effort to protect the country's vital export and tourism industries, even buying massive quantities of foreign currencies to do so.

The rate was introduced as the eurozone crisis sent investors flocking to the haven currency. More recently, the Russian rouble crisis put renewed pressure on the franc. But the bank said Thursday it was no longer needed.

Awaiting the ECB

Focus was also firmly on the ECB, which will decide on the scale of a planned sovereign debt purchase at next week's meeting, a board member said Friday, in the clearest sign yet that the bank will launch the controversial stimulus measure.

"We will take the American and British experiences into account in order to determine the amount of debt to buy so as to reestablish confidence and bring inflation back to a level close to and lower than 2.0%," Benoit Coeure told the French newspaper Liberation.

It comes as official data on Friday revealed that inflation in Germany, Europe's biggest economy, slowed to just 0.2% in December, its lowest level in more than five years, and averaged 0.9% for the whole of 2014.

The chronically low level of inflation across the single currency bloc has fuelled concern the region could slip into deflation - a sustained and widespread drop in prices. Britain too risks falling into deflation later this year.

While falling prices may sound good for consumers, deflation can trigger a vicious spiral in which businesses and households delay purchases, throttling demand and causing companies to lay off workers.

Such concerns have fuelled speculation that the ECB could launch a programme of sovereign bond purchases known as quantitative easing or QE when it holds its first policy meeting of the year next Thursday.

The Swiss central bank's decision to abandon the currency cap "is a major move and has several consequences not least of which is to inject a fresh deflationary shock into the system", noted Neil MacKinnon, economist at VTB Capital financial group.

"Now the markets expect the ECB to announce QE at next week's meeting. If they don't the markets will understandably be very disappointed and this will just create fresh volatility and downward pressure on the major equity markets."

Euro weakens

The single European currency weakened on the increasing certainty of an ECB bond buying programme, which would flood the economy with euros, crashing below $1.15 for the first time in more than 11 years.

It struck $1.1460 in afternoon trading, its lowest point since mid-November 2003. It later recovered to $1.1527, still down sharply from $1.1623 late on Thursday.

Eurozone government bond yields also pushed lower, some touching record lows in anticipation the ECB would soon enter the market.

French 10-year bonds hit a record low of 0.613% during the session and Italian 10-year bonds set a new record low at 1.658%.

US stocks pushed upwards, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.16% to stand at 17 347.94 points in midday trading.

The broad-based S&P 500 climbed 0.51% to 2 002.78, while the tech-rich Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.41% to 4 589.43.

We live in a world where facts and fiction get blurred
Who we choose to trust can have a profound impact on our lives. Join thousands of devoted South Africans who look to News24 to bring them news they can trust every day. As we celebrate 25 years, become a News24 subscriber as we strive to keep you informed, inspired and empowered.
Join News24 today
heading
description
username
Show Comments ()
Rand - Dollar
19.02
+1.0%
Rand - Pound
23.82
+0.6%
Rand - Euro
20.42
+0.7%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.39
+0.8%
Rand - Yen
0.12
+1.1%
Platinum
922.60
+1.1%
Palladium
986.00
-1.9%
Gold
2,330.23
+0.6%
Silver
27.35
+0.7%
Brent-ruolie
88.02
-0.5%
Top 40
68,437
-0.2%
All Share
74,329
-0.3%
Resource 10
62,119
+2.8%
Industrial 25
102,531
-1.4%
Financial 15
15,802
-0.2%
All JSE data delayed by at least 15 minutes Iress logo
Company Snapshot
Editorial feedback and complaints

Contact the public editor with feedback for our journalists, complaints, queries or suggestions about articles on News24.

LEARN MORE
Government tenders

Find public sector tender opportunities in South Africa here.

Government tenders
This portal provides access to information on all tenders made by all public sector organisations in all spheres of government.
Browse tenders