Share

Rand, JSE take a knock as SA plunges into recession

Cape Town - South African GDP data released by StatsSA on Tuesday came in at a disappointing -0.7% quarter-on-quarter, missing most analyst estimates.

This second consecutive contraction in quarterly GDP data means that by definition, we are now in a technical recession. For an economy that desperately needs economic growth, this is not a good sign especially for job creation.

Bloomberg had a consensus estimate of 1% for the quarterly GDP number. After the release of the data, the rand immediately weakened and spiked up to R12.85 against the greenback from R12.79. A sell-off ensued in our local equity market and most of the JSE Top-40 stocks were trading in the red for the greater part of the day. The weakness in the rand was mitigated by the continued weakness that we are seeing in the US dollar.

The JSE Top-40 ended down 1.19%, with the broader All-Share Index down 1.17%. In the Top-40 Index Bidvest was the biggest loser, dropping 4.41%, coupled with banking stocks such as Standard Bank and Barclays Africa, which lost 4.29% & 3.55% respectively. The Financials Index eventually closed down 2.51%. The Industrials Index also followed the downtrend closing 1.63% lower. The only form of relief was seen in the Resources Index which managed to gain 1.29%, mainly thanks to the Gold index which gained 6.93%.

MMI Holdings released an operational update today which indicated how difficult economic operating conditions have affected their financial performance. Their core earnings growth improved somewhat to -3%, from -5% for the nine months reported, however there has been a decrease in new business volumes, which indicated a decrease of 6%. As a result, the stock traded lower today eventually closing down 8.22%.

Gold continued to track higher as investors continue to seek safe haven assets due to the weakness in the US dollar. The metal carried its momentum to trade at $1294.54 when the JSE closed. As a result we saw gold miners such as Gold Fields and AngloGold Ashanti closing 6.65% & 7.26% respectively. Platinum also traded firmer on the day managing to score highs of $967.90 per ounce before retracing back slightly to trade at $964.08 per ounce at the JSE close. Commodities in general have had a fairly decent run since the US dollar started to slide, and metals such as palladium have managed to reach highs last recorded in September 2014. Palladium managed to reach an intra-day high of $856.73.

Brent Crude was more stable trading compared to the volatility that we saw on Monday. It was trading within a price range of between $49.00 & $49.82 per barrel, and at the close of the JSE it was trading at $49.17 per barrel. Investors will be keeping a close watch on the political situation in the gulf, and with US gas and crude oil inventories expected on Wednesday, that should give some price direction to the market at least in the short-term.

*This report is from the Trading Desk at EasyEquities, Fin24's latest content partner on equities and market moves.

Read Fin24's top stories trending on Twitter:

We live in a world where facts and fiction get blurred
Who we choose to trust can have a profound impact on our lives. Join thousands of devoted South Africans who look to News24 to bring them news they can trust every day. As we celebrate 25 years, become a News24 subscriber as we strive to keep you informed, inspired and empowered.
Join News24 today
heading
description
username
Show Comments ()
Rand - Dollar
18.94
-0.0%
Rand - Pound
23.90
+0.0%
Rand - Euro
20.41
+0.1%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.33
+0.1%
Rand - Yen
0.13
+0.0%
Platinum
908.05
+1.2%
Palladium
1,014.94
0.0%
Gold
2,232.75
-0.0%
Silver
24.95
-0.1%
Brent Crude
87.00
+1.8%
Top 40
68,346
0.0%
All Share
74,536
0.0%
Resource 10
57,251
0.0%
Industrial 25
103,936
0.0%
Financial 15
16,502
0.0%
All JSE data delayed by at least 15 minutes Iress logo
Company Snapshot
Editorial feedback and complaints

Contact the public editor with feedback for our journalists, complaints, queries or suggestions about articles on News24.

LEARN MORE
Government tenders

Find public sector tender opportunities in South Africa here.

Government tenders
This portal provides access to information on all tenders made by all public sector organisations in all spheres of government.
Browse tenders