All data is delayed
Loading...
See More

Euro heads for weekly drop on inflation data

Feb 26 2016 15:52
Manisha Jha

London - The euro headed for a second weekly decline as inflation data from Europe’s major economies underscored the challenges ahead for European Central Bank President Mario Draghi before the institution’s next policy meeting in March.

The shared currency depreciated versus most of its major peers since February 19, held down on Friday by a report that France’s consumer prices fell at an annual 0.1% in February, versus a median estimate of a 0.1% gain in a Bloomberg survey of economists. Spanish consumer prices dropped the most in five months in February, and steeper than predicted.

In Germany, the European Union-harmonized rate of inflation slowed to minus 0.2 percent compared with a prediction for no change in a Bloomberg survey.

The euro was little changed at $1.1008 as of 15:06, headed for a weekly decline of 1.1%. The 19- member currency fell 0.1% to 78.81 pence, paring this week’s gain versus the pound to 2%.

“Inflation data out of France, Spain and Germany was pretty weak, suggesting disinflation pressure is mounting ahead of the ECB meeting,” said Dirk Aufderheide, chief currency strategist at Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management Investment GmbH in Frankfurt.

The single currency’s decline came as Group-of-20 policy makers gathered in Shanghai to share concerns over slowing global growth and look for measures to boost inflation and revive output.

The euro is also being hurt by speculation the ECB will expand quantitative easing at its policy meeting on March 10 to help avert deflation.

The five-year, five-year forward inflation-swap rate, which ECB President Mario Draghi has cited in the past to justify monetary easing, closed Thursday at 1.37%, the lowest since Bloomberg started tracking the data in 2004, and still far from the ECB’s goal of just under 2%.

“The five-year, five-year inflation-expectations swap-rate index is a very important measure for the ECB,” said Ulrich Leuchtmann, head of currency strategy at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt.

“It’s falling like a stone. While many Council members are opposing measures they regard as too focused on fiscal aspects, even the hawks agree to fight deflation risks - which many see materializing if inflation expectations drop.”

The shared currency depreciated versus most of its major peers since February 19, held down on Friday by a report that France’s consumer prices fell at an annual 0.1% in February, versus a median estimate of a 0.1% gain in a Bloomberg survey of economists. Spanish consumer prices dropped the most in five months in February, and steeper than predicted.

In Germany, the European Union-harmonized rate of inflation slowed to minus 0.2% compared with a prediction for no change in a Bloomberg survey.

The euro was little changed at $1.1008 as of 15:06, headed for a weekly decline of 1.1%. The 19- member currency fell 0.1% to 78.81 pence, paring this week’s gain versus the pound to 2 percent.

“Inflation data out of France, Spain and Germany was pretty weak, suggesting disinflation pressure is mounting ahead of the ECB meeting,” said Dirk Aufderheide, chief currency strategist at Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management Investment GmbH in Frankfurt.

The single currency’s decline came as Group-of-20 policy makers gathered in Shanghai to share concerns over slowing global growth and look for measures to boost inflation and revive output.

The euro is also being hurt by speculation the ECB will expand quantitative easing at its policy meeting on March 10 to help avert deflation.

The five-year, five-year forward inflation-swap rate, which ECB President Mario Draghi has cited in the past to justify monetary easing, closed Thursday at 1.37%, the lowest since Bloomberg started tracking the data in 2004, and still far from the ECB’s goal of just under 2%.

“The five-year, five-year inflation-expectations swap-rate index is a very important measure for the ECB,” said Ulrich Leuchtmann, head of currency strategy at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt.

“It’s falling like a stone. While many Council members are opposing measures they regard as too focused on fiscal aspects, even the hawks agree to fight deflation risks - which many see materializing if inflation expectations drop.”

Follow Fin24 on Twitter, Facebook, Google+ and Pinterest. 24.com encourages commentary submitted via MyNews24. Contributions of 200 words or more will be considered for publication.

markets  |  euro  |  currencies

 
 
 
 

Company Snapshot

We're talking about:

Money Clinic

Money Clinic
Do you have a question about your finances? We'll get an expert opinion.
Click here...

Voting Booth

Would you buy the FNB branded smartphone?

Previous results · Suggest a vote

Loading...