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Risk aversion again hammers rand

Johannesburg - The rand extended losses against the dollar on Thursday, falling more than 2.1% and in tandem with local and global stocks, which were slammed by renewed world growth worries.

Government bonds strengthened and the yield on the 4-year issue hit a new all-time low of 6.67% as foreign investors snapped up local debt, which still offers better returns than those in developed countries.

The rand traded at R7.2285/$ in afternoon trade, after earlier hitting a session low of R7.2505/$ Wednesday’s close at R7.0927/$. The rand ranked in the bottom five in a basket of 20 emerging market currencies monitored by Reuters.

The currency’s fall mirrored that of the local bourse, where the blue chip index was down 3.5%, with resource stocks leading the decline.

“We have seen a massive move on the global equities side, and, despite the fact that we have not seen any sign of capitulation on the fixed income side yet, I think that the equities outflow is once again taking its toll on FX,” said Luis Costa, head of CEEMEA forex and debt strategy at Citi in London.

Analysts said because South Africa’s bourse is liquid, with heavy penetration from international accounts, this makes it vulnerable to global moves that also hit the rand.
“I think equities now are definitely the centre of the hurricane here. For the moment the dynamics in global equities ... look pretty horrible and there could be more losses on the rand from equity contagion,” Costa said.
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Rand - Dollar
18.97
+1.3%
Rand - Pound
23.73
+0.9%
Rand - Euro
20.34
+1.1%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.39
+0.8%
Rand - Yen
0.12
+1.4%
Platinum
916.00
+0.4%
Palladium
1,011.00
+0.6%
Gold
2,328.15
+0.5%
Silver
27.40
+0.9%
Brent Crude
88.02
-0.5%
Top 40
68,562
-0.0%
All Share
74,492
-0.0%
Resource 10
61,691
+2.1%
Industrial 25
103,018
-1.0%
Financial 15
15,887
+0.3%
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