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Rand under pressure, budget in focus

Oct 24 2012 09:21 Reuters

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Johannesburg - The rand was slightly firmer against the dollar on Wednesday after hitting one week lows in a wave of global risk aversion and as a nervous market awaits the medium-term budget.

Government bonds recovered after a sharp sell-off on Tuesday on speculation the Treasury might switch some short-term bonds for longer maturities to delay its repayment obligations.

In his medium-term budget on Thursday, Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan faces the hard task of balancing demands for increased social spending from a restive population while reassuring investors and ratings agencies he is committed to reining in the budget deficit.

By 06:48 GMT the rand traded 0.25% firmer at R8.7470 to the dollar compared with Tuesday’s New York close at R8.7689.

The yields on the three-year and 14-year benchmark bonds each gave up 1.5 basis points to 5.38% and 7.645% respectively. The 14-year paper had closed 11 basis points higher on Tuesday.

In addition to worries about the struggling local economy, the rand is vulnerable to risk aversion which pushed it 2% weaker on Tuesday as investors sought the safety of US government bonds.

“We expect that a break of R8.80 may clear the path for a test of the R9.00 level,” Rand Merchant Bank said in a note.


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