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Rand stable, bonds up ahead of rates decision

Johannesburg - The rand was stable against the dollar early on Monday while bond yields hovered near 20-month lows, as emerging markets continued to benefit from the European Central Bank's (ECB) larger-than-expected stimulus package.

On the local front, traders and investors awaited Thursday's interest rate decision, with all 37 economists surveyed by Reuters last week predicting the South African Reserve Bank (Sarb) would hold interest rates at 5.75%.

On Monday, the yield on the 2026 benchmark revisited last week's low of 7.135%, a level last seen in late May 2013, and was down 3 basis points at 7.14% at 08:55 compared to Friday's close.

The rand was changing hands at R11.4210 to the dollar, where it ended the previous session in New York.

The currency had rallied to 7 week highs last week after the ECB said it buy €60bn worth of assets each month to try and stimulate growth in the eurozone.

While there was little expectation that Sarb would change policy on Thursday, the market would be on the look out for downward adjustments to inflation forecasts, Standard Bank dealer Warrick Butler said.

"This will be a solid indication that they believe the hiking cycle they embarked on last year has ended and that the next move in the local repo rate could in fact be lower," he said.

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Rand - Dollar
19.11
+0.4%
Rand - Pound
23.80
-0.4%
Rand - Euro
20.46
-0.0%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.40
-0.2%
Rand - Yen
0.12
+0.4%
Platinum
920.40
-1.1%
Palladium
1,026.50
+1.1%
Gold
2,322.61
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All Share
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Resource 10
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