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Rand slightly firmer, stocks to backtrack

Johannesburg - The rand recovered from three week lows on Monday, aided by improved risk sentiment after China cut rates for the fifth time in 2015 to ease pressure on its slowing economy.

The Top-40 futures index was down 0.44%, suggesting the blue-chip stocks index would open 207 points softer at 09:00.

At 09:00, the rand inched 0.1% firmer to R13.6265/$, after touching its weakest since October 6 on Friday as upbeat manufacturing data from the United States put bets of a rate hike there back on the table.

Yields on government bonds ticked up in early trade, with the benchmark paper due in 2026 adding 1 basis point to 8.4%.

On Friday, the People's Bank of China cut interest rates and lowered the amount of cash banks must hold as reserves, triggering a rally in emerging market currencies.

"China is a premier buyer of SA exports, though the market was sceptical about whether increased stimulus will be enough to make a difference to demand for local resources," analysts at NKC African Economics said.

Traders expect the relief on the currency to come under pressure heading into the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision on Wednesday.

"The risk of a surprise hike is close to zero, but markets will look at the statement for clues on when they expect to hike," said John Cairns of RMB in a market note.

Locally, South Africa's statistics agency releases Q3 unemployment figures on Tuesday followed by producer inflation and trade data later in the week.

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Rand - Dollar
18.83
+1.0%
Rand - Pound
23.51
+1.2%
Rand - Euro
20.14
+1.3%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.29
+0.9%
Rand - Yen
0.12
+2.3%
Platinum
921.70
-0.4%
Palladium
958.00
-3.3%
Gold
2,334.39
+0.1%
Silver
27.22
-0.8%
Brent Crude
89.01
+1.1%
Top 40
69,358
+1.3%
All Share
75,371
+1.4%
Resource 10
62,363
+0.4%
Industrial 25
103,903
+1.3%
Financial 15
16,161
+2.3%
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