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Rand range bound on US data

Mar 05 2010 09:32

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Johannesburg - The rand was in the middle of a range in the morning session on Friday tracking the euro ahead of non-farm payrolls data in the US.

At 09:02 the rand was bid at 7.4863 to the dollar from 7.4755 at its previous close. It was bid at 10.1700 to the euro from its previous close of 10.1470 and was at 11.2313 against the sterling from 11.2208.

The euro was bid at $1.3581 from $1.3581 previously.

A local trader said: "Non farm payrolls data is out later. The rand is in the middle of a range of 7.44-54 against the dollar tracking the euro on any break ahead of that data in the US.

In their morning commentary, RMB analysts noted that the weekend was vital for Greece as its Prime Minister, George Papandreou, meets with his German and French counterparts to secure firm commitments of support. The country requires more than a mere pat on the back to manage their fiscal constraints and drive bond yields down to pre-budget crisis levels.

Although news of the overwhelming success of the country's ?5bn bond issuance inspired investor confidence, tensions between Athens, Berlin and Paris remain, the analysts said.

"Euro gains emanating from the success of the issuance, were largely offset by ECB comments relating to the unevenness of the eurozone recovery yesterday, which reduced the possibility of near-term rises in record low interest rates.

"The rand however seemed unperturbed, flourishing below dollar/rand 7.50. We expect the trend to sustain, though volatility might be evident later in the day," RMB said.

Despite only a scattering of international data, event risk is elevated with the release of the US non-farm payrolls figure later this afternoon, it said.

Dow Jones Newswires meanwhile reported that the yen fell against the dollar in Asia on Friday as reports that the Bank of Japan may take additional steps to ease monetary policy led investors to speculate Japanese interest rates might fall, reducing the attractiveness of yen-denominated assets.

The BOJ will likely consider more easing through April, the major dailies the Nikkei and the Yomiuri Shimbun reported Friday. Possible steps could include expanding the volume of loans at a fixed rate of 0.1%, introduced in December, from the current ¥10 trillion, analysts said.

Non-Japanese investors jumped on the reports and pushed the yen lower. But the reaction by Tokyo dealers was limited. They said even if the BOJ reinforces the lending facility, the yen-weakening effects will be limited.

Looking ahead, investors will pay attention to US non-farm payrolls data due at 13:30 GMT. The dollar may spike against the yen briefly if the jobs data beat economists' forecast.

Some say the chances of that happening aren't slim, as similar US jobs data earlier this week came in stronger than expected, noted Yuichiro Harada, a senior dealer at Mizuho Corporate Bank.

Non-farm payrolls may show a decline of 75 000 jobs in February, according to a Dow Jones poll of economists.

Automatic Data Processing reported Wednesday that 20 000 private-sector jobs were lost in February, less than the 50 000 expected in a Dow Jones survey of economists. The euro was at $1.3591 from $1.3576 and ¥121.29 from ¥120.98 partly due to Japanese institutional investors' euro-buying, dealers said. But the unit's bias remains downward due to lingering European debt worries.

- I-Net Bridge

 
 
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