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Rand gains on hopes of EU debt resolutions

Jul 21 2011 09:46 Reuters

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Johannesburg - The rand was firmer against the dollar in early trade on Thursday and was seen gaining in the session amid hope that the US and Europe will soon agree on how to deal with their debt problems.

The rand has been battered in recent sessions along with other high-yielding riskier assets by global factors such as the Greek bail out and a looming deadline for the United States to decide on raising its debt-ceiling.

However, on Wednesday the rand failed to break key support at the R6.95 level and dealers said that failure should trigger a bounce back to R6.80.

The currency traded at R6.8425 to the dollar at 06:41 GMT, up 0.26% from Wednesday's close at 6.86.

The central bank will announce a decision on the repo rate after 13:00 GMT, when the Monetary Policy Committee concludes its three-day rate-setting meeting.

A Reuters poll of 21 economists all agreed the rate would be held steady at 5.5%, although some predicted an increase towards the end of the year.

Some economists have however pushed out their expectations of a hike after May retail sales on Wednesday showed no growth, adding to the weak domestic demand picture painted by manufacturing data last week.

"The market was pricing in a definite 50 basis point rate hike by February 2012. The weak figures out have now resulted in Forward Rate Agreements in this area discounting a 50% chance of a hike," said Rand Merchant Bank.

Government bonds were nearly unchanged, with the yield on the four year note steady at 7.41% and that on the 2026 paper down just one basis point to 8.505%.

 

 
 
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