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Rand firms in temporary reprieve

Jul 24 2012 09:37

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Johannesburg - The rand firmed against the dollar on Tuesday, tracking global markets that were cheered by signs of improvement in Chinese manufacturing data, while government bonds improved from weaker levels from the previous session.

The South African currency was up 0.4% to the dollar at R8.4283 by 06:06 GMT, after hitting a near one month low on Monday as investors globally sought cover in safe haven assets from Spain’s debt troubles.

It closed at R8.4630 in Monday’s session and dealers are looking for the rand to test the R8.50 level later this week as the recovery may be short-lived.

Risk appetite returned on Tuesday with China’s PMI at its highest level in five months, but still looking shaky below the key 50 level on the index, with the market looking for any good news to hold onto.

“Usually when we have such a vicious move on one day the market does not have the momentum to carry it further the next,” said Warrick Butler, Standard Bank’s rand trader.

“We have had two days, Friday and Monday, in a ’risk off’ environment and so my feeling is we will either have a day of consolidation or a bit of profit-taking after such an extensive move.”

The rand began its retreat from firmer levels on Friday, a day after the central bank surprisingly cut interest rates for the first time in 19 months to 5%, reducing the attractiveness of the carry trade.

The South african currency is likely to weaken again later this week, with the persisting debt crisis in Europe and slowing growth in China depressing the domestic market. The two are South Africa’s biggest trading partners.

The central bank’s leading indicator, measuring economic sentiment, is due at 07:00 GMT. Analysts expect the weakening trend that has been visible for months to have continued in May, and this is likely to drag on the rand.

Yields on government bonds were slightly lower, with prices recovering in line with the currency.

The three-year bond yield dropped 1.5 basis points to 5.425% while the 14-year issue fell 2 basis points to 7.335%.

The government is looking to sell R2.1bn worth of paper between the 2023, 2041 and 2048 bonds in the session. Results are due after auction closes at 09:00 GMT.

 
bonds  |  rand  |  markets
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