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Rand firmer amid volatility

Sep 13 2011 12:32 I-Net Bridge

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Johannesburg - The rand was slightly firmer against the dollar in noon trade on Tuesday in a volatile market.

"Up to now the session has been dominated by volatility and uncertainty with no clear market trend," a local rand trader said.

"Gold is off by about $20 and that's no help either," he said.

The trader added that nothing contained in the SA Reserve Bank's quarterly bulletin had influenced the currency market.

At 11:47 local time, the rand was bid at 7.3838 to the dollar from its previous close of 7.4025. It was bid at 10.0500 to the euro from 10.1015 before, and at 11.6320 against sterling from 11.7199 previously.

The euro was at $1.3611 from $1.3658 before.

Earlier the Reserve Bank reported that SA's current account deficit had widened to -R95.4bn or -3.3% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter compared to -R87.8bn or -3.1% of GDP deficit in the first quarter.

Standard Bank analysts said in a morning note on Tuesday that the rand had been victim again to heightened global risk aversion yesterday.

"Risk-off sentiment is being fuelled by the deepening debt crisis in Europe associated with the growing possibility of a Greek default, and this is prompting many participants to liquidate their emerging market exposures in favour of cash and safe haven assets.

"Yesterday's rand weakness was particularly severe, as the rand underperformed all of its emerging market and commodity-based currency peers, which ensured that most of our short-term targets were attained in just one trading session."

Standard Bank said that although the rand had recouped some of yesterday's losses this morning, a return to R7.49 or even R7.52 was still possible this week because when global risk aversion bit, a liquid and deep EM currency such as the rand (with no exchange controls for foreign investors) was particularly vulnerable.

"The dismal SA consumer confidence data published yesterday was also conducive to a weaker rand from a GDP differential perspective."

Meanwhile, the euro maintained its volatility following what Dow Jones Newswires called "a disappointing Italian bond auction."

The Italian Treasury sold a total of €6.485bn Treasury bonds, or BTPs, at an auction Tuesday, the Bank of Italy said.

The Treasury offered €3bn to €4bn of the 2016-dated BTP, and a combined €2bn to €3bn of the three other non-benchmark, or "off-the-run" BTPs.

The 2016-dated BTP was a new issue, while the others are reopenings of issues launched in 2008, 2004 and 2010, respectively.

 
 
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