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Rand, bonds hit by new wave of risk-off

Johannesburg - The rand weakened against the dollar on Tuesday, pulling back from a week-long firming trend as headlines out of Europe hit sentiment towards risky assets.

The rand is a heavily traded emerging market currency and susceptible to risk-off, risk-on trade, making it volatile.

Government bonds followed the negative market sentiment but the Treasury managed to attract decent demand at an auction earlier in the session, which helped bonds off the day’s lows.

Investors are taking positions based on developments in Europe, where the world is watching to see whether the European monetary union will collapse or manage to save itself from its debt crisis.

Ratings agency Standard and Poors’ warned late on Monday about the credit rating of 15 euro zone countries, making already jittery investors sell risky holdings in Tuesday’s local session.

The rand pulled back from a previous three-week high to trade at 8.1275 against the dollar on the day, after closing at 8.0624 in the New York market on Monday.

Yields on government debt rose during most of the session and were up 4 basis points to 6.705 percent on the 4-year bond and 5 basis points on the 15-year issue to 8.41 percent an hour before trade closed for the day.

“We had a weaker rand before the auction and then had supply come into the market, which added pressure. We’re off the worst levels of the day though because the auction saw good demand,” said Daniel Sabiston from Absa Capital.

Treasury managed to sell the 2.1 billion rand in 10 and 30-year paper offered at auction at lower yields, even with the gloomy market sentiment.

Demand was also sustained from last week’s sale, a result analysts say the government will be more than happy with in the current market environment.

Traders are reporting very light volumes in recent sessions, with only 6 billion rand going through the market on Monday, compared to about 18-20 billion rand daily turnover in normal liquidity.
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