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Rand, bonds a tad firmer as risk returns

Johannesburg - The rand and bonds started the week on a slightly firmer note on Monday as investors returned to riskier assets again after signs that European governments were returning to stability.

Local assets will take direction mainly from overseas developments this week as the local economic calendar is largely bare expect for retail sales data out on Wednesday.

Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan will speak at two events on Monday at around 07:00 GMT and 10:00 GMT.

There have been positive reactions to a new government in Italy expected to implement reforms to end a debt crisis and a new Greek minister who should push through austerity measures to restore the country’s credibility.

The rand was trading at R7.89, little changed from Friday's close of R7.8940.

The R7.80 level is the immediate resistance level for the rand. It has tried and failed several times to break through and should it conquer it, with R7.72 the next major hurdle, analysts said.

Local stocks looked set for a positive start at 07:00 GMT. The JSE's Top 40 - (Tradeable) [JSE:J200] December futures contract was up 0.65% before the market opened.

On bonds, the yield on the 2015 bond slipped 0.5 basis points to 6.59% and that on the 2026 issue fell one basis point to 8.35%.

“There’s a little bit of stability starting to come back in the eurozone and risk is back on but it’s early days,” said Marten Banninga, head of bond trading at World Wide Capital Securities.

“The South African bond market will trade a touch stronger from the weakness we saw after the unchanged rate decision on Thursday. The market was more or less priced for a possible rate cut, and after that did not happen, the market corrected.”

Yields rose to two-week highs on Friday as bond market players curbed expectations of a rate cut after the Reserve Bank said inflation would be above the 3% - 6% target for longer than previously forecast.

 
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Rand - Dollar
19.01
+1.1%
Rand - Pound
23.79
+0.7%
Rand - Euro
20.40
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