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Oil could hit $60 as supply cut hopes fade

Singapore - Brent crude fell to a four-year low under $76.30 a barrel on Thursday as it became increasingly unlikely that the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) would cut output to support prices during a meeting in Austria.

Opec Gulf members Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates said on Wednesday they would not propose an output cut during the meeting on Thursday, reducing the likelihood of any joint action to prop up prices, which have sunk by a third since June.

"Dreams of rising oil prices smashed with pre-Opec meeting sentiments. Brace yourselves for lower oil prices," Singapore-based Daniel Ang of Phillip Capital said.

Some analysts have said oil prices could slide to $60 per barrel if Opec does not agree to a significant output cut.

Benchmark Brent futures dropped by more than $1 to $76.28 a barrel, the lowest level since September 2010. US crude also lost more than $1 to a session low of $72.61.

The contracts had edged back up to $76.59 and $73 a barrel respectively at 09:30.

Another rise in US shale oil production as well as increasing Chinese and US oil stocks boosted available supplies and also weighed on crude values.

Consultancy Energy Aspects said that US crude output averaged 8.86 million barrels per day in September, 1.12 million barrels more than in the same month last year, noting that this was "the fastest monthly growth since April".

Crude inventories in the United States rose by 1.9 million barrels in the week that ended November 21, according to the US Energy Information Administration, about four times analysts' expectations for an increase of 467 000 barrels.

In China, the government has quietly increased its strategic petroleum reserves to around 30 days' worth of imports, double the amount revealed by its official schedule, as the world's top energy consumer takes advantage of the dive in crude prices to strengthen its position in the global oil market.

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