Share

Gold shows some bling, but still shaky

London - Gold rose on Tuesday after physical buyers of bullion grabbed the chance offered by the previous session's record-breaking one-day drop, but investors expected more falls.

Bullion on Monday recorded its biggest ever daily fall in dollar terms - at one point it was down $142 an ounce - catching gold bulls, speculators and veteran investors by surprise.

Gold has fallen about 20% so far this year after an unbroken 12 years of gains and is some 28% down from the record high hit in September 2011 at $1 920.30.

"We have had technical barriers broken in the past two days, while the overall macro environment has being moving away from the inflation bias ... and some institutional investors are rethinking their positions in commodities in general and gold specifically," Deutsche Bank analyst Daniel Brebner said.

Spot gold, lost 8.5% on Monday and dropped further to $1 321.35 an ounce, its lowest since January 2011, earlier on Tuesday.

It later reversed direction, spurred by physical buying and helped by a weaker dollar against the euro, to briefly rally above $1 400 to a session high of $1 401.24 an ounce, up 3.6%. By 14:46 GMT it was up 2% or $27.05 at $1 379.80.

Cypriot gold holdings

The asset traditionally viewed as a safe-haven has been undermined by a proposed sale of Cypriot gold holdings and uncertainty over the US Federal Reserve's stimulus programme.

"We still believe that the price has further to fall - the fundamental (non-speculative) value of gold is still a fraction of the current price," Alan Miller, CIO of SCM Private, an investment management firm said in a note.

US gold futures for June delivery fell more than 2% to the weakest in more than two years before rebounding 1.6% to $1 381.20 an ounce.

In wider markets, the dollar fell against the euro, although remaining strong versus the yen. Stocks on Wall Street rose, while data that showed US consumer prices fell in March left room for the Federal Reserve to keep up bullion-friendly economic stimulus efforts.

Rout of 1980 eclipsed

Monday's drop in spot gold, closing down around $125 an ounce, eclipsed the rout on January 22 1980, a day after gold hit its then-record $850 on global panic over oil-led inflation due to Soviet intervention in Afghanistan and the Iranian revolution.

Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals, Wang Tao, expects gold to fall further to $1 245 per ounce.

Gold hit an 11-month high in October last year after the US Federal Reserve announced its third round of aggressive economic stimulus, raising fears the central bank's money-printing to buy assets would stoke inflation.

But the gain was erased by a rally in equities, talks the Fed could reduce its bullion-friendly bond buying programme, and concerns other indebted eurozone countries could follow Cyprus' plan to sell bullion reserves to raise cash.

The end of the gold love affair?

Heavy outflows on global gold exchange-traded funds, which cut holdings to their lowest in more than a year, could also mark the end of a love affair between gold and investors.

Physical dealers saw inquiries from jewellers following the latest sell-off, but there were no signs of buying related to tensions between the two Koreas or bombings in Boston on Monday, which killed three people.

Premiums for gold bars edged up to $1.70 to the spot London prices in Singapore on Tuesday from $1.20 the previous day, but dealers had yet to see a surge in demand from jewellers and speculators.

Platinum and palladium, which have also been hammered by heavy selling, regained strength after Japanese shares pared losses due to renewed weakness in the yen.

Spot platinum was up 2.7% to $1 439.99 an ounce and palladium rose 4% to $678.50. Silver also rallied 3.9% to $23.46 after dropping 12.6% on Monday.


We live in a world where facts and fiction get blurred
Who we choose to trust can have a profound impact on our lives. Join thousands of devoted South Africans who look to News24 to bring them news they can trust every day. As we celebrate 25 years, become a News24 subscriber as we strive to keep you informed, inspired and empowered.
Join News24 today
heading
description
username
Show Comments ()
Rand - Dollar
19.17
-0.9%
Rand - Pound
23.85
-0.7%
Rand - Euro
20.42
-0.6%
Rand - Aus dollar
12.32
-0.7%
Rand - Yen
0.12
-0.7%
Platinum
953.60
+0.1%
Palladium
1,034.00
-0.1%
Gold
2,388.08
+1.1%
Silver
28.41
+0.6%
Brent Crude
87.29
-3.1%
Top 40
67,190
+0.4%
All Share
73,271
+0.4%
Resource 10
63,297
-0.1%
Industrial 25
98,419
+0.6%
Financial 15
15,480
+0.6%
All JSE data delayed by at least 15 minutes Iress logo
Company Snapshot
Editorial feedback and complaints

Contact the public editor with feedback for our journalists, complaints, queries or suggestions about articles on News24.

LEARN MORE
Government tenders

Find public sector tender opportunities in South Africa here.

Government tenders
This portal provides access to information on all tenders made by all public sector organisations in all spheres of government.
Browse tenders