London - Gold prices rose back above $1,900 an
ounce on Monday as expectations grew that the United States could implement a
further round of monetary easing after Friday’s weak payrolls data, while
concerns over the eurozone debt crisis resurfaced.
Stock markets weakened, with the FTSEurofirst 300 sliding 2 percent
in early trade, the euro eased versus the dollar and oil prices fell as
investors sold out of assets seen as higher risk in favour of havens like gold
and Bunds.
Spot gold was up 0.9 percent at $1,901.50 an ounce at 0916 GMT. It
is one of this year’s best-performing commodities, up by more than a third in
2011 to date.
European shares fell on concerns that the United States could be
set for recession after Friday’s weak payrolls data, while German Bund futures
hit record highs ahead of a series of challenges in Europe this week.
Standard Bank analyst Walter de Wet said a court ruling due
Wednesday that may reduce the freedom of the German government to finance
rescues of crisis-hit countries like Greece was supporting interest in
safe-haven gold, while a European Central Bank meeting on Thursday will be
closely watched.
“There is a growing expectation in the market that we will have to
get some policy response from the ECB at some stage,” he said. “Whatever that
will be, it is more likely to be positive for gold than not. Either they will
have to cut rates, or they will have to be more accommodating.”
“That just adds to what we’re seeing happening in the United
States,” he said. “It seems that people are more convinced that gold will not
come off. Whenever gold retreats $20, $30, we see decent buying coming through.”
Gold had a choppy month in August, peaking at a record $1,911.46 an
ounce and trading within its biggest range in absolute terms since January 1980,
when gold hit a record $835 an ounce, or above $2,000 in inflation-adjusted
terms.
It is being lifted by expectations that the failure of the U.S.
economic recovery to gain traction will force the Federal Reserve to embark on a
third round of quantitative easing.
“The positive for gold (after Friday’s payrolls U.S. data) lies in
the possible policy response to the lack of employment growth,” said HSBC in a
note.
“Market discussions quickly centered on the possibility of a third
round of quantitative easing. The two previous bouts of QE saw significant gold
price appreciation.”