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Brent over $112 on stimulus hopes

London - Brent crude oil rose above $112 on Monday as the dollar weakened and after hurricane Irene swept up the US East Coast, with no reports so far of serious damage to refineries and terminals.

Global financial markets were supported by hopes the US Federal Reserve might launch a third round of quantitative easing (QE3) after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke left the door open for further action to stimulate the US economy.

World shares rose almost 2%, with European and Asian markets tracking Friday's 1% rise on Wall Street following Bernanke's keynote speech in Jackson Hole.

News of a strong rebound in US consumer spending in July, the largest increase in five months, also supported markets.

Brent crude gained $1.21 to a high of $112.57 a barrel before slipping back to around $112.40 by 1356 GMT, after earlier slipping as low as $110.53. US crude futures climbed $2.25 to a high of $87.62.

Traded volume on both futures contracts was low, with a public holiday in Britain and many New York traders away from their desks in the aftermath of the storm.

Fears of disruptions to US oil supplies from weather damage helped support oil at the end of last week, but tropical storm warnings for the US east coast have been discontinued, the National Hurricane Center said.

"Some investors are obviously hoping for a stimulus in the future," said Olivier Jakob at Swiss consultancy Petromatrix.

"The spin that was quickly developed was that this makes it more likely that QE3 is announced at the next meeting."

But many analysts thought the rally could be short-lived.

"With the Fed and the hurricane headlines fading, investor concern should shift to more intractable issues, such as slowing global macro trends and European debt issues," said Edward Meir, senior commodities analyst at brokers MF Global.

"We think energy markets will likely be mildly on the defensive over the next few days as some of the events that have lent a measure of support are now behind us," he added.

Seven refineries with a total of 1.23 million barrels per day capacity - 73% of the 1.7 million bpd total in the US Northeast - had been in the storm's projected path.

Irene, which was downgraded to a tropical storm on Sunday, has left at least 15 dead, as many as 3.6 million customers without electricity and thousands of downed trees.

Brent and US crude grades moved in opposite directions as traders punted on their price differential to widen further on differing fundamental outlooks, analysts said.

The Brent-WTI spread for October was at $25.10 a barrel. It hit a record of almost $27 earlier this month.

Libya

Libyan rebel forces converged on Muammar Gaddafi's hometown of Sirte on Monday, hoping to seal their revolution by capturing the last bastions of a fallen but perhaps still dangerous strongman.

Libya's new government plans to restart production at two eastern oilfields in mid-September and resume shipping oil from Tobruk by the end of the same month.

Its largest oil refinery, Ras Lanuf, is intact despite recent intense fighting, and staff are preparing to restart operations, its general manager told Reuters.

Analysts say limited production of Libyan crude oil could resume within a few weeks, although the country may not get back to its pre-civil-war output of 1.6 million barrels per day (bpd) for up to three years.

The US central bank's policy panel will meet for two days next month to discuss its options to provide additional monetary stimulus, among other topics, Bernanke said on Friday.

But the chairman stopped short of announcing any new stimulus measures. The potential of stimulus measures weighed on the dollar.

Market participants will be watching a slew of economic data out of the US this week for further insight into the health of the world's biggest economy. Key will be non-farm payroll data for August on Friday.

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