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Bonds soft on euro, ignore CPI

Johannesburg - South African bonds were soft in midday trade on Wednesday on the back of a weaker euro ahead of a statement from the European Union leaders' summit today. April inflation data showed a slight up-tick to 6.1% year on year (y/y) from 6.0% y/y in March. The I-Net Bridge consensus forecast was for 6.2% y/y.

At 11:32, the benchmark R157 bond was trading at 6.390%, from Tuesday's close of 6.315% and Monday's close of 6.340%. The R207 was bid at 7.610% and offered at 7.580% from a previous close of 7.515% and the R186 was trading at 8.320% from its close of 8.250%.

The rand was bid at 8.3883 against the dollar from yesterday's close of 8.3259 and Monday's close of 8.2088.

"The inflation data came in as expected, so it had no impact on the market. What is driving the market is the commentary out of Europe," a trader said.

Eskom allocated R100m worth of its EL28 after receiving bids worth R298m, while the ES33 bond attracted R460m for the R200m on offer. The clearing yield for the EL28 was 2.73% and for the ES33 is was 9.525%.

Dow Jones Newswires reported that demand from eurozone banks for the European Central Bank's (ECB) three-month, or 84-day, dollar liquidity supply nearly doubled on Wednesday, while demand for the one-week dollar liquidity supply remained unchanged, a likely sign that dollar funding on the interbank market is in demand for longer maturities as eurozone uncertainties mount.

The ECB said it allotted $10.268bn in its three-month, fixed-rate, dollar, swap operation, up from $5.199bn allotted in April, when it last offered the same operation. It allotted $300m at its seven-day, fixed-rate, dollar, swap operation, steady from last week.

Seventeen banks requested dollar liquidity against ECB-eligible collateral at a fixed rate of 0.66% at the three-month operations, the ECB said, up from 11 at the last offer. One bank asked for one-week dollar liquidity, also at 0.66%, unchanged from last week. The ECB never publishes the identity of the banks it lends dollars to via the facility.

Dollar liquidity became less available in the second half of last year as a result of rising worries among US banks over the eurozone's sovereign debt crisis. On November 30, the world's major central banks moved in concert to provide cheap dollars to banks after dollar funding stress intensified.

Since then, dollar funding stress has eased due partly to the ECB flooding the eurozone banking system with euro liquidity through its three-year loans.

European banks need dollars to fund their non-euro activities. To provide the dollar loans, the ECB borrows the same amount from the US Federal Reserve.

Foreigners were net buyers of R767.633m of South African bonds including repo transactions on Tuesday after net sales of R684.646m of local bonds on Monday, data released by the JSE shows.

Nominal cumulative volume was R22.833bn on Tuesday from R91.819bn on Monday.

Foreigners were net buyers of R761.798m of South African bonds excluding repo transactions on Tuesday after net sales of R689.472m of local bonds on Monday.

For the year to date foreigners have been net buyers of R38.590bn of local bonds, excluding repo transactions. In 2011 they were net buyers of R47.359bn worth of local bonds, excluding repo transactions.

In the year to date foreigners have been net buyers of R34.628bn of local bonds including repo transactions. In 2011 they bought R37.501bn of local bonds.
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