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Spanish, French borrowing costs raise alarm

Nov 17 2011 17:24 Reuters

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Madrid/Paris - Spain and France faced sharply higher borrowing costs on Thursday, struggling with bond auctions that highlighted the threat of larger eurozone economies succumbing to the debt crisis that began in Greece and is now threatening Italy.

Thousands of Greeks took to the streets of Athens in a major protest rally that will be the first public test for a new national unity government that must impose painful spending cuts and tax rises if the country is to escape bankruptcy.

Italy’s new Prime Minister Mario Monti unveiled sweeping reforms to dig the country out of crisis, and said Italians were confronting a major emergency. Opinion polls show Monti enjoys 75% support but there were street clashes in the business capital of Milan and in Turin.

The Spanish government was forced to pay the highest borrowing costs since 1997 at a sale of 10-year bonds, with yields a steep 1.5 points above the average paid at similar tenders this year, drawing descriptions from the market ranging from “pretty awful” to “dreadful”.

The euro fell in response.

Paris fared a little better, but again had to pay markedly more to shift nearly €7bn of government paper. Fears that the eurozone’s second-largest economy is getting sucked into the maelstrom have taken the two-year debt crisis to a new level this week.

“The eurozone has got to deliver something which is going to calm markets down and at the moment markets feel like they are being given no comfort whatsoever,” said Marc Ostwald, strategist at Monument Securities.

In Rome, Monti outlined a broad raft of policies including pension and labour market reform, a crackdown on tax evasion and changes to the tax system in his maiden speech to parliament ahead of a confidence vote to confirm backing for his technocrat government.

With Italy’s borrowing costs now at untenable levels, Monti will have to work fast to calm financial markets given that Italy needs to refinance about €200bn ($273bn) of bonds by the end of April.

Ireland, which has been bailed out and gained plaudits for its austerity drive, will also be forced to do more.

Dublin will increase its top rate of sales tax by 2% in next month’s budget, documents obtained by Reuters showed.

But no amount of austerity in Greece, Italy, Spain, Ireland and France is likely to convince the markets without some dramatic action in the shorter term, probably involving the European Central Bank (ECB).

Many analysts believe the only way to stem the contagion for now is for the ECB to buy up large quantities of bonds, effectively the sort of quantitative easing undertaken by the US and British central banks.

France and Germany have stepped up their war of words over whether the ECB should intervene more forcefully to halt the eurozone’s debt crisis, after modest bond purchases have failed to calm markets.

Facing rising borrowing costs as its AAA credit rating comes under threat, France has urged stronger ECB action but Berlin continues to resist, saying European Union rules prohibit such action.

“If politicians think the ECB can solve the euro crisis, then they are mistaken,” German Chancellor Angela Merkel said, adding that even if the ECB assumed a role as a lender of last resort, it would not solve the crisis.

Investors and eurozone officials hope that if Merkel and others find themselves staring into the abyss, the unthinkable will rapidly become thinkable.

“The Germans have made some remarkable changes to their position over the past few months - you have to give them credit for that, it just takes rather a long time.

"It’s Chinese torture,” one eurozone central banker told Reuters. “They are not drawing lines in the sand as clearly as they were.”

The ECB’s policy of buying Italian and Spanish bonds in limited amounts is barely holding the line, with the former’s borrowing costs above the 7% level widely seen as unsustainable and the latter’s homing in on that level.

“It keeps contagion intact, not just for the peripherals but also for the core countries and increases the pressure on the ECB to do something,” Nick Stamenkovic, bond strategist at RIA Capital Markets said of the Spanish and French auctions.

“Clearly at the moment the ECB is reluctant to do anything.”

Banks under the cosh

With turmoil reaching a crescendo, eurozone banks are finding it harder to obtain funding. While the stresses are not yet at the levels of the 2008 financial crisis, they have continued to mount despite ECB moves to provide unlimited liquidity to banks.

Fitch Ratings warned it might lower its “stable” rating outlook for US banks because of contagion from problems in troubled European markets.

And fellow ratings agency Moody’s cut ratings of 12 German public sector banks, believing they are likely to receive less federal government support if needed.

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said on Thursday that the eurozone’s debt crisis was beginning to hit the real economy, and urged vigilance to prevent contagion from infecting banks and insurance firms.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) replaced its European director, in a sign the global lender is setting a more forceful course of action in dealing with the European crisis.

The fund named Reza Moghadam, currently director of the fund’s strategy, policy and review department, as its new director for Europe, replacing Antonio Borges. He suggested last month that the IMF could buy Spanish or Italian bonds alongside the eurozone’s bailout fund, but was forced to backtrack.

italy  |  france  |  spain  |  greece debt crisis  |  europe debt crisis  |  euro  |  ecb
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