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Sarb index surprises with upbeat outlook

Johannesburg - The South African Reserve Bank’s leading business cycle indicator rose by 1.8% in June compared with May, the central bank said on Tuesday.

Seven out of 10 of the components increased while only three fell, the bank said in a statement posted on its website, suprising market expectations higher.

The indicator had recorded three consecutive months of decline to May and the market was bracing for a further moderation as data signals a slowing economy.

The indicator is a forward-looking index that collates data such as job advertisements and volume of manufacturing orders to gauge the economic outlook.

The central bank left its repo rate steady at 5.5% at its previous meeting, after reducing it by 650 basis points between November 2008 and December 2010. The market expects interest rates to remain steady for longer.
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