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SA ties terms to Swazi bailout

Aug 03 2011 15:36 Reuters

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Pretoria - Swaziland needs to implement critical economic and financial reforms as part of conditions for a R2.4bn bailout from South Africa, Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan said on Wednesday.

Gordhan said the first of three tranches of the loan would be transferred in August when negotiations had been finalised and that repayments would be via debits from Swaziland's share of regional customs receipts.

The loan buys crucial time for King Mswati III, whose unelected administration has been running through the central bank’s reserves to pay public sector wages.

To the disappointment of the British-educated monarch’s opponents inside and outside the impoverished state, the aid will not be tied to reforms such as unbanning political parties or releasing Swaziland’s five prisoners of conscience.

“It’s not in our interest to have an economy in trouble that could place a burden on the South African government,” Gordhan told reporters.
Pretoria hopes Mswati, who has at least a dozen wives and an estimated personal fortune of $200 million, would “create space” for political dialogue, Gordhan said, but added: “It’s not our place to dictate to them.”

Such comments could land him and President Jacob Zuma in political trouble given the ill-feeling in South Africa towards Mswati, who has run the landlocked nation of 1.4 million people as his personal fiefdom for more than two decades.
“We should not waste this opportunity to contribute to the democratisation of our neighbour by using our economic leverage,” the Democratic Alliance party said.

The Swaziland Solidarity Network, a dissident group based in South Africa, described the loan as a “betrayal of the people”, while Cosatu  said the aid should be used as a political tool.
“It is not democratic, and people are suffering. South Africa should impose conditions which will facilitate democracy and could lead to the unbanning of political parties,” Cosatu President Sidumo Dlamini said.

Last ditch

Swaziland’s fiscal problems stem from a 2009 recession in South Africa that triggered a collapse in revenues from the SACU regional customs union that has historically accounted for two-thirds of Swaziland’s budget.

The government has kept its head above water by using central bank reserves, which now stand at just over $500m, and running up at least $180m  in unpaid bills.
In the face of a Greece-style budget crisis, Mswati tried and failed to get cash from the International Monetary Fund, which refused to hand over anything without seeing major cuts to what is officially Africa’s most bloated bureaucracy.

“We are thankful, and also appreciate the assistance we have received from South Africa,” Mswati was quoted as saying in the Times of Swaziland newspaper. “This shows that they are good neighbours.”

The loan will buy him some time but will not resolve what the IMF says is the crux of the country’s problem: a civil service wage bill that consumes 18%  of GDP.

“They needed a bridge loan like this to get them into next year when the SACU revenues might look a bit better,” said Christie Viljoen of NKC Economists.
“But as long as they don’t cut their civil service staff, they’re not going to get money from the likes of the IMF.”
swaziland  |  sacu  |  mswati iii  |  bailout
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