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PMI drops, dampening GDP outlook

Johannesburg - South Africa's seasonally adjusted purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 48.2 in June from 53.6 in May, dropping into contraction territory for the first time since December and dampening the outlook for overall economic growth in the second quarter.

The PMI, a key measure of manufacturing activity, was at its lowest level since August 2011, with most of the sub-indices recording significant declines, sponsor Kagiso Tiso Holdings said in a statement on Monday.

“In addition to weaker external demand, the latest figures indicate a sustained and worsening slowdown in domestic demand as the New Sales Orders Index, the largest weighted sub-index, fell by 5.2 points to reach a level of 46.5,” said Abdul Davids, head of research at Kagiso Asset Management.

The weak PMI suggests domestic growth slowed in the second quarter of 2012 and backs the case for monetary loosening later this year. Factory output contributes about 15% to gross domestic product.

 
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