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Opec set to hold oil output

Vienna - OPEC ministers said they expected to keep oil output levels unchanged despite concern about demand in view of the weak economic outlook, as they started a crucial meeting in Vienna on Friday.

The 12-member Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec), comprising nations from the Middle East, Africa and Latin America, is mindful that cutting production could raise prices and boost their incomes -- but that this could also boomerang by hampering fragile global recovery.

The outlook for global economic growth, and demand for oil, has been clouded by the combined impact of Chinese inflationary pressures, the long-running eurozone sovereign debt crisis and uncertainty over policy for the US economy, Opec says.

Questioned about whether the cartel would seek to roll over its daily output target of 30 million barrels per day, Angolan Oil Minister Jose Maria Botelho de Vasconcelos said that this was likely.

"We are producing about 30 million barrels (per day). I think we will take the decision to maintain the situation," he told journalists at the start of the meeting in Vienna, where the cartel is headquartered.

He also expressed satisfaction with the current price level, noting: "$100 per barrel is good."

In reality, actual output exceeds 30 million mbpd.

United Arab Emirates Energy Minister Suhail al-Mazrouei added: "There's nothing controversial (at this meeting), the levels of production being good and adequate to the market and the prices are appropriate."

Kuwait's OPEC governor Siham Abdulrazzak Razzouqi also said she expected no change, saying: "We think that the market is very stable."

"Supply and demand are in balance, prices are at a good level. Everything seems to be fine."

Even ahead of the meeting, there were indications that Opec - which pumps about 35% of global oil supplies - would leave its official oil output ceiling at 30 mbpd, where it has stood since the end of 2011.

That OPEC produces above that level is partly thanks to a higher production from kingpin Saudi Arabia, which is the biggest producer in the cartel. It has also risen in recent times due to recovering production from Iraq and Libya.

"We are going to call for members to respect the ceiling," added Venezuelan Energy Minister Rafael Ramirez, signalling concern about overproduction.

Meanwhile Iran, which in the run-up to the meeting had pushed for lower output, seemed to have joined the consensus for maintaining the status quo.

"I think the current ceiling is logical, rational, reasonable," he said Friday as Opec members began their meeting.

"At the closed-door session we will recommend (to member countries) to keep maintaining their production (and) not surplus," he said.

Iran has been hit by international oil sanctions over its controversial nuclear programme which has seen it drop from second to fifth largest OPEC producer in the last two years.

Opec countries have been generally satisfied with the price of $100 per barrel, although Algeria and Qatar on Friday appeared flexible on the price.

"We dont have any price target, we are following the market," Algerian Energy Minister Youcef Yousfi told journalists.

Ahead of Opec's ministerial meeting, Brent oil prices stood at $101.60 in late morning trading in London.

Demand is being contained by weak growth in many advanced economies and by the boom of oil and gas production from shale resources in North America.

Opec's Secretary-General Abdullah El-Badri added that the cartel predicted an upswing in energy demand growth in the third and fourth quarter of this year.

However, he sounded a gloomy warning over the world economy.

"For demand growth, we have to look to the world economy. Some countries are fine, some countries are not really fine," El-Badri said.

"We have to watch out for demand ... because the United States has fiscal problems, China is also struggling with their inflation and, of course you know the problems of Europe."

Friday's gathering will also seek to identify the criteria under which members will decide their next secretary general at the next scheduled meet in December.


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