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Italy eyes unity cabinet as EU dithers

Nov 10 2011 16:53 Reuters

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Rome/Athens - Italy moved closer to a national unity government on Thursday, following Greece’s lead in seeking a respected veteran European technocrat to pilot painful economic reforms in an effort to avert a eurozone bond market meltdown.

After four days of chaotic haggling, former European Central Bank vice-president Lucas Papademos was appointed to head an interim crisis cabinet charged with saving Greece from default, bankruptcy and an exit from the euro zone.

In Rome, former European Commissioner Mario Monti emerged as favourite to replace Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi within days and lead an emergency government that would implement long delayed reforms of pensions, labour markets and business regulation.

Political and economic turmoil in Italy has spurred fears of a possible break-up of the euro zone with borrowing costs for Europe’s third biggest economy at unsustainable levels and the 17-nation currency bloc unable to afford a bailout.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Europe’s main paymaster, called for broad political support for reforms in Greece and said she believed Italy was winning back confidence, but political clarity was still needed in Rome.

She rejected talk of a possible shrinking of the currency area, saying: “We only have one goal, that is to bring about a stabilisation of the euro zone in its current form.”
European Union officials continued to dither and pass the buck on how best to fight the worsening sovereign debt crisis.

Three senior ECB policymakers rebuffed pressure from investors and foreign governments to intervene massively as a lender of last resort on bond markets to shield Italy and Spain from rapidly spreading financial contagion.

“We have gone pretty far in what we can do but there is not much more that can be expected from us. It is now up to the governments,” ECB governing council member Klaas Knot told the Dutch parliament.

Knot, who is also Dutch central bank chief, said bond-buying only had a temporary effect. The ECB has bought more than 180 billion euros of peripheral euro zone bonds and traders said it was active again in the market on Thursday, but the purchases have failed to lower borrowing costs durably.

Stepping up the scale of bond-buying would eventually force the ECB to start printing money with the risk of stoking inflation, which was why the EU treaty had excluded such action, Knot said.

ECB executive board member Peter Praet said it was not the task of the central bank to intervene “when there are fundamental doubts about the sustainability of some countries”. Outgoing ECB chief economist Juergen Stark earlier rejected calls for the ECB to act as lender of last resort like the U.S. Federal Reserve or the Bank of England.

In Brussels, a euro zone official said there were no plans to use the bloc’s 440-billion-euro ($600 billion) rescue fund to help Italy, even with a precautionary credit line.

“Financial assistance is not in the cards,” the official said. A second official said: “The ECB will be drawn like every one else by the weight of gravity (to act).”

Markets steadier

Italian 10-year bond yields steadied at around 7 percent, a level seen as unquestionable in the long term, due to signs that the political deadlock may be easing. Rome paid less to sell 1-year treasury bills than many had feared.

Sources in Berlusconi’s conservative PdL party said he was now convinced it would be better not to call elections at the moment, an abrupt reversal. The billionaire media magnate has agreed to resign within days after parliament approves long delayed economic reforms demanded by European partners.

PdL parliamentary floor leader Fabrizio Cicchitto said the party was considering backing a unity government led by Monti, a respected economist favoured by the centre-left opposition.

Berlusconi’s populist coalition partner, the Northern League, said it would not support a Monti government.

Monti, 68, was appointed a senator for life on Wednesday in a move that appeared to prefigure his possible rise to the premiership, but he has made no public statement and it is unclear what conditions he may set for taking office.

In Athens, Papademos said after agreeing to head a crisis coalition: “The Greek economy is facing huge problems despite the efforts undertaken.

“The choices we will make will be decisive for the Greek people. The path will not be easy but I am convinced the problems will be resolved faster and at a smaller cost if there is unity, understanding and prudence.”

The euro rose from a one-month low and world stocks inched up on hopes that new governments being formed in Italy and Greece could help fend off a euro zone break-up.

Smaller eurozone denied


Merkel, French officials and the EU’s executive Commission all tried to quash talk of a possible shrinking of the euro area, although they raised the possibility last week that Greece might leave the single currency.

EU sources told Reuters that French and German officials had held informal discussions on a two-speed Europe with a more tightly integrated and possibly smaller euro zone and a looser outer circle.

The discussions among senior policymakers, still in the realms of the theoretical, have focused on how to protect the euro zone from breaking up via tighter common policies which some members may by unable or unwilling to live with.
European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso issued a stark warning of the dangers of a split in the European Union.

“There cannot be peace and prosperity in the North or in the West of Europe, if there is no peace and prosperity in the South or in the East,” Barroso said in a speech in Berlin.

Merkel called on Wednesday for changes in EU treaties after French President Nicolas Sarkozy advocated a two-speed Europe in which euro zone countries accelerate and deepen integration while an expanding group outside the currency bloc stays more loosely connected.

The head of the International Monetary Fund called for political clarity in efforts to tackle Italy’s debt crisis, warning that the world could face a “lost decade” if Europe’s problems were not tackled boldly.

Uncertainty around who would succeed Berlusconi was fuelling market volatility, Christine Lagarde said on a visit to China.

“No one exactly understands who is going to come out as the leader. That confusion is particularly conducive to volatility,” she told a news conference in Beijing. “Political clarity is conducive to more stability and my objective from the Fund’s point of view is better and more stability.”

A senior G20 source said the idea of convening an emergency meeting of finance ministers of the world’s leading economies to discuss support measures for the euro zone before the French presidency ends at the end of the year had been dropped. They would meet next in Mexico in February.

Euro zone finance ministers agreed on Monday on a road map for leveraging the currency bloc’s rescue fund to shield larger economies like Italy and Spain from a possible Greek default.

But markets are running faster than policy and there are deep doubts about the efficacy of those complex leveraging plans, and with Italy’s debt totalling around 1.9 trillion euros even a larger bailout fund could struggle to cope.
efsf  |  europe debt crisis  |  italy  |  greece
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