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Johannesburg - South Africa's real gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 3.2% in the fourth quarter of 2009 (at market prices on a quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted annualised basis), Statistics SA said on Tuesday.
For 2009, GDP growth came in at -1.8% year-on-year compared with +3.7% in 2008. There were no revisions to any of the quarters in 2009.
Fourth quarter growth was expected to have come in at +2.6%, according to an I-Net Bridge survey of leading economists. The range of forecasts for the survey, among eight economists, was from 1.4% q/q to 3.2%.
The first quarter of 2009 had ushered in the first recession in 17 years. It was also the worst figure since the third quarter of 1984 when GDP was at -6.5% and the first technical recession in South Africa since the fourth quarter of 1992.
The third-quarter GDP in 2008 was the 40th consecutive quarter of positive growth since 1998, but this came tumbling down in the fourth quarter as the first decline in a decade was registered.
- I-Net Bridge