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Early rate cut 'still possible'

Mar 13 2009 15:57

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Johannesburg - The recent avalanche of weak economic indicators bolsters the case for the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) to maintain an aggressive monetary policy easing stance and could persuade the Monetary Policy Committee to cut rates ahead of its scheduled meeting in April, says Moody's Economy.com in a research note on Friday.

"Dour production data dominated the economic news from South Africa this week, led by slumping domestic and foreign demand. Elevated interest rates have cooled domestic spending while most of South Africa's key export markets are in recession," they note.

The economists say the recession in the manufacturing sector is expected to continue through most of 2009.

"Given manufacturing accounts for around 15% of the economy and employment, this is a worry."

"With the rest of the economy in turmoil, prospects of a near-term recovery in the domestic housing market are bleak," they add.

Moody's Economy.com says that Africa's largest economy has succumbed to the global downturn.

"In the final quarter of 2008, GDP contracted for the first time in a decade, and leading indicators suggest another contraction in the first quarter," they conclude.

- I-Net Bridge

 
 
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