Cape Town. - Airlines operating in South Africa will need 183 new passenger aircraft, with an estimated value of $29bn, by 2030 to meet growing demand, said aircraft manufacturer Airbus on Monday.
In its latest forecast of the global market, the European manufacturer said airlines in Africa and the Indian Ocean region
are expected to require 1 101 new passenger aircraft valued at $126 billion over this period.
Airbus said the figure for South Africa comprises 90 single aisle aircraft (smaller planes), such as the Airbus A320, 80 twin aisles (larger planes) such as the A350XWB and the long range A330/A340 family, and 13 very large aircraft such as the A380.
“Aviation is essential for the development of the region, with African traffic flows representing four of the top ten fastest growing flows worldwide. People really do want and need to fly in Africa.” said Andrew Gordon, Airbus Director for Strategic Marketing and Analysis.
“South Africa has experienced a 45% growth in air traffic since 2000. Increased tourism, business relationships with developing nations, more domestic and inter-regional flying and further opportunities for low cost airlines are all drivers for growth.”
Gordon said the Africa and Indian Ocean region will require 38 very large aircraft such as the A380 by 2030.
Airbus forecasts average annual passenger growth rates to, from and within South Africa of 6% over the next 20 years.
This surpasses the average growth rate for Africa at 5.7%, and is well above the 4 8% average for the world.
Passenger traffic through Johannesburg airport will continue to rise, especially on routes to other mega cities.
Airbus expects more flights will be operated by very large aircraft such as the A380 to make best use of limited airport capacity and to efficiently move the large numbers of people who want to travel to the region.
Air France, Lufthansa and Emirates currently operate the A380 on high density routes to and from Johannesburg.