Company Data
| Last traded |
R19.23 |
| Change |
R0.32 |
| % Change |
1.69% |
| Cumulative volume |
6.05m |
| Market cap |
R106.96bn |
| Last traded |
R158.90 |
| Change |
R1.50 |
| % Change |
0.95% |
| Cumulative volume |
410,042 |
| Market cap |
R80.63bn |
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Johannesburg - Nedbank [JSE:NED] will probably have to achieve a number of financial targets before Old Mutual [JSE:OML], which owns 53% of Nedbank, will be prepared to sell the banking group.
Last week members of Old Mutual’s top management declined to confirm rumours that Standard Chartered was planning to buy Nedbank.
At a teleconference last week, Old Mutual CEO Julian Roberts said Old Mutual was currently working with Nedbank and the bank's new chief executive, Mike Brown, to realise strategic objectives.
Earlier in May these objectives were again emphasised by Brown; they include an improved return on equity (RoE), a lower cost ratio and greater capital adequacy.
Roberts said these comprise Old Mutual's strategy with regard to Nedbank, and that the bank was in full agreement as to their achievement.
In 2009 Nedbank’s RoE fell to 11.5%, the lowest among the four big banks, after having climbed to above 20% two years before. But the 53% cost ratio still needs to be brought below 50%.
An improved financial performance from Nedbank will increase the price that Standard Chartered would eventually have to pay for Nedbank, because its market value would be expected to rise.
Another stumbling block would be if the Registrar of Banks and the Reserve Bank were to block such a deal.
Banking registrar Errol Kruger some time ago indicated that Barclays’ takeover of Absa would be the last foreign takeover to receive approval at present.
Credit Suisse Standard Securities said in a research note that the authorities will possibly re-examine the issue, taking a view that Nedbank is effectively already owned by a foreign entity – since Old Mutual is also listed in London and has a great number of international assets. This would make a possible transaction different from that of Barclays taking over Absa.
It's unlikely that Standard Chartered would take only a minority stake in Nedbank. The authorities could be expected to change the stance that a foreign bank is limited to buying 20% to 25% of a local bank.
Standard Securities reckons takeover rumours are more credible now than at any time in recent years.
Nedbank’s share price seems relatively undervalued at a historical price:earnings multiple of 12, compared with FirstRand’s 15.5 and Standard Bank’s 14.5.
On Friday Nedbank closed 1.5% or 213c down at R137.23, after having reached a high of R144 earlier in May.
- Sake24.com
For business news in Afrikaans, go to www.sake24.com.