Facebook’s imminent stock sale risks putting public stock
markets to shame.
Investors will surely clamour for a piece of the social
network. But unlike Google's 2004 initial public offering, everyone who’s
anyone has already made a killing off Mark Zuckerberg’s dorm-room project.
At a $100bnbn valuation, it’s hard to imagine much could
The list of who gained access to Facebook’s value-creation
steamroller is extensive. It’s not just Silicon Valley elite, including Sean
Parker, Peter Thiel and Zynga’s Mark Pincus.
The roster extends to global billionaires and, naturally,
Goldman Sachs. Even Microsoft is up big.
In one respect, that’s good. It suggests innovative
entrepreneurs can access ample capital from a diversity of sources. And that
may mean fewer of the likes of Pets.com tap public investors.
But when the question of equality of opportunity in
capitalism is being questioned like never before, Facebook shows one clear way
the rich get richer.
Set aside the earliest funders. Thiel, who invested the year
Google went public, gambled on a Harvard dropout with an idea. Accel Partners
could easily have seen its $12.7m investment in 2005 vanish, rather than rise
to $9bn on paper.
Later investors also took risks, though their procession
looks more like the Davos caste system. At the $15bn mark, there was Microsoft
and Hong Kong billionaire Li Ka-shing.
Soon after, Russian Internet smarty-pants Yuri Milner
cleverly offered to buy stock from Facebook employees. Bono’s Elevation
Partners swooped in with a deal that might just allow it to raise another fund.
Later came Goldman, buying nearly $2bn of Facebook stock for
private banking clients and itself at a $50bn valuation. Facebook staff shares
were available on SecondMarket, but only to accredited investors with
experience investing in private firms.
The worry is that after the investing aristocracy has
feasted on Facebook, there’s little left for the hoi polloi.
Google’s lifespan as a private firm was shorter before
debuting at $85 a share. They’re now $580 – a valuation approaching $200bn. For
Facebook to match that performance it would need to become the world’s first
(The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The
opinions expressed are his own).
Personally I think that a valuation of the company at $100bn is absurd. The company does make around #3bn in revenues but there has been questions raised from their advertisers that they do not get the same bang for their buck as google. Google offers targeted advertising based on user searches, while facebook uses demographic information to advertise.I think that once the hyoe fades there are going to be some unhappy investors in this stock.